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What Bitcoin Crash? 'Don't Think We're Anywhere Near A Top,' Analyst Reassures

What Bitcoin Crash? 'Don't Think We're Anywhere Near A Top,' Analyst Reassures

什麼比特幣崩盤?分析師安慰說「我認爲我們離頂點還遠着呢。」
Benzinga ·  2024/12/11 22:40

The cryptocurrency market's recent volatility has prompted a reassessment of key indicators, suggesting that the current bull run may still have significant room for growth, according to a comprehensive analysis shared on X.

最近數字貨幣市場的波動促使人們重新評估關鍵因子,分析表明,目前的上漲趨勢仍有顯著的增長空間,這一綜合分析在X上分享。

What Happened: Despite recent market turbulence, described as "the biggest liq flush since 2021," the analysis paints a bullish picture for the crypto market's future, opening with the words "don't think we're anywhere near a top."

發生了什麼:儘管最近市場動盪,被形容爲「自2021年以來最大的清算潮」,但分析爲數字貨幣市場的未來描繪出了一幅看好的前景,開篇指出「不要認爲我們已經接近頂部。」

The thread, posted by a crypto analyst on Tuesday, examines four crucial aspects:

這條帖子由一位數字貨幣分析師在星期二發佈,考察了四個關鍵方面:

Funnie pointed to the largest liquidity flush since 2021 over the past three weeks and detailed four core areas supporting his conviction: Despite growing nervousness in the market, the signals across on-chain metrics, regulatory developments, macro conditions, and market cap trends remain strongly bullish.

Funnie指出在過去三週內發生的自2021年以來最大的流動性清算,並詳細闡述了支持他信念的四個核心領域:儘管市場上緊張情緒加劇,但鏈上指標、監管動態、宏觀條件和市值趨勢的信號仍然強烈看好。

  1. On-Chain Metrics: indicators such as the Puell Multiple and Pi Cycle Top suggest the market is still in a healthy growth phase. Most metrics indicate that we are nowhere near a top, with key resistance levels in the market structure holding firm.
  2. Altcoin Consolidation: altcoins remain below previous all-time highs, similar to patterns seen in December 2020 and February 2021, preceding major breakouts. For example, Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) remains below its previous high of $4,800, still shy of an inflation-adjusted target of $6,000. Solana (CRYPTO: SOL) is stabilizing in the low $200s, with open interest resetting to lows, signaling potential for another leg up.
  3. Macro and Regulatory Tailwinds: a historic shift toward pro-crypto sentiment, underscored by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's acknowledgment of Bitcoin as "digital gold," adds to market optimism. Favorable interest rate policies and liquidity tailwinds further strengthen the market environment.
  4. Market Structure: the overall structure mirrors December 2020's bullish setup, suggesting another potential rally before any major correction.
  1. 鏈上指標:普埃爾倍數和Pi循環頂部等因子表明市場仍處於健康的增長階段。大多數指標顯示我們距離頂部還遠,市場結構中的關鍵支撐位保持穩固。
  2. 另類幣整合:另類幣保持在之前歷史最高點以下,類似於2020年12月和2021年2月的模式,這些都是主要突破的前奏。例如,以太幣(CRYPTO: ETH)仍低於其之前的最高點4,800美元,仍未達到調整後的6,000美元目標。Solana(CRYPTO: SOL)穩定在200美元低位,未平倉合約回落至低位,暗示可能有再次上漲的潛力。
  3. 宏觀和監管利好:朝着支持數字貨幣的歷史性轉變,聯邦儲備主席傑羅姆·鮑威爾承認比特幣是「數字黃金」,進一步增強了市場樂觀情緒。優惠的利率政策和流動性利好進一步強化了市場環境。
  4. 市場結構:整體結構類似於2020年12月的看漲設置,暗示在任何重大修正之前還有另一次潛在反彈。

Also Read: Bitcoin To $200,000, Ethereum To $7,000, Solana To $750 In 2025, Predicts Bitwise

另請閱讀:比特幣將達20萬美元,以太幣將達7000美元,Solana將達750美元,Bitwise預測在2025年。

Why It Matters: The analyst estimates the likelihood of this cycle topping at less than 1%, with cold on-chain indicators, accelerating regulatory progress, and supportive macroeconomic conditions providing strong backing.

爲什麼這很重要:分析師估計這一週期頂峯的可能性低於1%,冷鏈上因子、加速的監管進展以及有利的宏觀經濟條件提供了強有力的支撐位。

He advises traders to remain confident but to manage risk effectively, noting that the market is likely setting up for another significant move.

他建議交易者保持信心,但要有效管理風險,指出市場可能正在爲另一個重大走勢做準備。

"This is a time to stay convicted—not wobbly," the report concludes, urging traders to avoid letting short-term fear cloud long-term opportunities.

報告總結道:「這是保持信念的時刻——而不是搖擺不定,」呼籲交易者避免讓短期恐懼模糊長期機會。

  • Scaramucci: Trump's Crypto Support Could Push Bitcoin To $150K
  • 斯卡拉穆奇:特朗普對數字貨幣的支持可能推送比特幣至15萬美元。

Image: Shutterstock

圖片:Shutterstock

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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