Is Clorox (NYSE:CLX) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Clorox (NYSE:CLX) Using Too Much Debt?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies The Clorox Company (NYSE:CLX) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
一些人認爲,波動性比債務更能體現作爲投資者的風險,但禾倫·巴菲特曾著名地說過:「波動性絕不是風險的同義詞。」因此,當考慮任何特定股票的風險時,顯然您需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可能會導致一家公司陷入困境。和許多其他公司一樣,高樂氏公司(紐交所:CLX)也利用債務。但這對股東來說是個問題嗎?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時會變得危險?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果一個企業無法償還其債權人,那麼它就處於債權人的控制之中。最終,如果公司無法履行其法律義務償還債務,股東可能會一無所獲。然而,更常見(但仍然痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低價籌集新的股本,從而永久性地稀釋股東。當然,債務在企業中可以是一個重要的工具,特別是在資本密集型的企業中。當我們考慮公司的債務使用時,我們首先將現金和債務結合在一起。
What Is Clorox's Debt?
高樂氏的債務是什麼?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Clorox had debt of US$2.49b at the end of September 2024, a reduction from US$2.83b over a year. On the flip side, it has US$278.0m in cash leading to net debt of about US$2.21b.
下圖中可以點擊以獲取更多詳細信息,顯示截至2024年9月底,高樂氏的債務爲24.9億美元,較一年前的28.3億美元有所減少。另一方面,它現金爲27800萬美元,導致淨債務約爲22.1億美元。
A Look At Clorox's Liabilities
高樂氏的負債情況分析
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Clorox had liabilities of US$1.58b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$3.69b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$278.0m as well as receivables valued at US$595.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$4.40b.
從最近的資產負債表中我們可以看到,高樂氏有15.8億美元的負債在一年內到期,36.9億美元的負債在那之後到期。抵消這些義務的是其現金27800萬美元以及在12個月內到期的應收款項59500萬美元。因此,它的負債超過了其現金和(近期)應收款項的總和44億美元。
Clorox has a very large market capitalization of US$20.7b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
高樂氏有着207億美元的龐大市值,因此在需要時很可能能夠籌集資金以改善其資產負債表。但我們絕對需要注意債務帶來的風險指示。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
我們使用兩個主要指標來告知我們債務水平與盈利的關係。第一個是淨債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的比率,而第二個是其息稅前利潤(EBIT)覆蓋其利息費用(或其利息覆蓋,簡稱)。這種方法的優點在於我們考慮了債務的絕對數量(通過淨債務與EBITDA比率)和與該債務相關的實際利息費用(通過其利息覆蓋比率)。
Clorox's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.6 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 17.2 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. On top of that, Clorox grew its EBIT by 58% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Clorox can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
高樂氏的淨債務與EBITDA比率約爲1.6,表明其債務使用較爲適度。而其EBIT是其利息支出的17.2倍,意味着債務負擔輕如孔雀羽毛。此外,高樂氏在過去十二個月內將其EBIT增長了58%,這一增長將使其更容易應對債務。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但最終,業務的未來盈利能力將決定高樂氏是否能夠隨着時間的推移增強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想知道專業人士的看法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Clorox generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 84% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
但我們最後一個考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司不能用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。因此,我們始終檢查EBIT中有多少轉化爲自由現金流。在過去三年中,高樂氏產生的自由現金流佔其EBIT的比重高達84%,這一比例超出我們的預期。這使得它在償還債務方面處於非常強勢的位置。
Our View
我們的觀點
Clorox's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! Considering this range of factors, it seems to us that Clorox is quite prudent with its debt, and the risks seem well managed. So we're not worried about the use of a little leverage on the balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Clorox (including 1 which is concerning) .
高樂氏的利息覆蓋率表明,它能夠像C羅對付一名14歲以下的守門員一樣輕鬆應對其債務。而且,好的消息並不止於此,因爲其EBIT轉換爲自由現金流的能力也支持了這一印象!考慮到這一系列因素,我們認爲高樂氏在處理債務方面相當謹慎,風險看起來管理得很好。因此,我們並不擔心在資產負債表上使用少量槓桿。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,最終,每家公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。爲此,您應該了解我們發現的高樂氏的3個預警信號(其中1個值得關注)。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
經過一番考慮,有時候關注那些根本不需要負債的公司會更容易。讀者可以現在免費訪問一份零淨負債的成長型股票名單。
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這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。