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The One-year Decline in Earnings for ADT NYSE:ADT) Isn't Encouraging, but Shareholders Are Still up 18% Over That Period

The One-year Decline in Earnings for ADT NYSE:ADT) Isn't Encouraging, but Shareholders Are Still up 18% Over That Period

ADt(紐交所:ADT)一年的盈利下降並不令人鼓舞,但在這一期間股東的收益仍然增長了18%。
Simply Wall St ·  12/10 18:14

There's no doubt that investing in the stock market is a truly brilliant way to build wealth. But if you choose that path, you're going to buy some stocks that fall short of the market. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the ADT Inc. (NYSE:ADT) share price is up 15% in the last year, that falls short of the market return. Zooming out, the stock is actually down 9.3% in the last three years.

毫無疑問,投資股市確實是建立財富的絕妙方式。但如果你選擇了這條路,你將會買入一些不及市場的股票。不幸的是,對於股東來說,儘管ADT Inc.(紐交所:ADT)股票在過去一年上漲了15%,但這仍低於市場回報。放眼整體,實際股票在過去三年內下跌了9.3%。

Although ADT has shed US$206m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.

儘管ADT本週市值減少了20600萬美元,但讓我們看看其長期的基本趨勢,看它們是否推動了回報。

We don't think that ADT's modest trailing twelve month profit has the market's full attention at the moment. We think revenue is probably a better guide. Generally speaking, we'd consider a stock like this alongside loss-making companies, simply because the quantum of the profit is so low. It would be hard to believe in a more profitable future without growing revenues.

我們認爲ADT過去十二個月的溫和利潤目前並沒有引起市場的充分關注。我們認爲營業收入可能是更好的指標。一般來說,我們會將這樣的股票與虧損公司放在一起考慮,原因在於利潤的量實在是太低。沒有營業收入增長,很難相信將來會更有利潤。

ADT grew its revenue by 7.1% last year. That's not a very high growth rate considering it doesn't make profits. It's probably fair to say that the modest growth is reflected in the modest share price gain of 15%. It might be worth thinking about how long it will take the company to turn a profit.

ADT去年的營業收入增長了7.1%。考慮到其沒有盈利,這個增長率並不算高。可以說,這一溫和的增長反映在15%的溫和股價上漲上。值得考慮的是,公司需要多長時間才能實現盈利。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

以下圖像顯示了公司的營業收入和盈利(隨時間變化)(單擊以查看準確的數字)。

big
NYSE:ADT Earnings and Revenue Growth December 10th 2024
紐交所:ADT 盈利與營業收入增長 2024年12月10日

It is of course excellent to see how ADT has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. If you are thinking of buying or selling ADT stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

看到ADT Inc多年來的盈利增長當然是非常令人高興的,但未來對股東來說更爲重要。如果您考慮買入或賣出ADT Inc股票,您應該查看這份關於其資產負債表的免費詳細報告。

What About Dividends?

關於分紅派息的問題

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for ADT the TSR over the last 1 year was 18%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股價回報,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。TSR是一種回報計算,考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何分紅都被再投資)以及任何打折融資和剝離的計算價值。因此,對於那些支付慷慨分紅的公司來說,TSR通常遠高於股價回報。我們注意到,ADT Inc在過去一年中的TSR爲18%,這比上述的股價回報要好。並且不難猜測,分紅支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

ADT shareholders are up 18% for the year (even including dividends). But that return falls short of the market. The silver lining is that the gain was actually better than the average annual return of 0.3% per year over five year. This suggests the company might be improving over time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for ADT (1 can't be ignored) that you should be aware of.

ADT Inc的股東在這一年增長了18%(包括分紅)。但這一回報仍低於市場表現。令人欣慰的是,這一漲幅實際上超過了過去五年每年平均0.3%的年度回報。這表明公司可能在逐漸改善。 我發現從長期來看,股價作爲業務表現的代表非常有趣。但要真正獲得深入見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,我們已經識別出ADT Inc的4個警告信號(1個無法忽視),您應該知道。

We will like ADT better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我們看到一些大規模的內部人士買入,我們會更喜歡ADT Inc。在我們等待的同時,請查看這份主要是小型股的被低估股票的免費名單,這些股票最近有相當大的內部人士買入。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了當前在美國交易所上市股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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