Is Keyera Stock a Buy for Its 4.6% Dividend Yield?
Is Keyera Stock a Buy for Its 4.6% Dividend Yield?
Keyera (TSX:KEY) is an integrated energy infrastructure company that gathers, processes, stores, and transports natural gas and natural gas liquids. It also provides high-quality, value-added services to customers across North America. The company has outperformed the broader equity markets this year, with returns of 47.3%. Falling interest rates and solid financials have boosted the company's stock price. It also pays a quarterly dividend of $0.52/share, translating into a forward dividend yield of 4.6%.
Keyera(多倫多證券交易所股票代碼:KEY)是一家綜合能源基礎設施公司,負責收集、處理、儲存和運輸天然氣和液化天然氣。它還爲北美各地的客戶提供高質量的增值服務。該公司今年的表現超過了整個股票市場,回報率爲47.3%。利率下降和穩健的財務狀況提振了公司的股價。它還支付每股0.52美元的季度股息,相當於4.6%的遠期股息收益率。
Let's assess its recent quarterly performance and growth prospects to determine whether investors could buy Keyera for its 4.6% dividend yield.
讓我們評估其最近的季度表現和增長前景,以確定投資者是否可以以4.6%的股息收益率收購Keyera。
Keyera's third-quarter performance
Keyera第三季度業績
Keyera reported an impressive third-quarter performance last month, with its adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization) growing by 12.1% to $322.24 million. It generated $260.2 million of funds from operations, representing a 9.5% increase from the previous year. Growth across its three segments – Gathering and Processing, Liquids Infrastructure, and Marketing – boosted its operating margin by 49.9%.
Keyera上個月公佈了令人印象深刻的第三季度業績,調整後的息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(扣除利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益)增長了12.1%,達到3.2224億美元。它從運營中獲得了2.602億美元的資金,比上年增長了9.5%。其三個板塊(收集和加工、液體基礎設施和營銷)的增長使其營業利潤率提高了49.9%。
The Gathering and Processing segment's operating margin grew 9% during the quarter due to capacity expansion at the Pipestone gas plant and the absence of $16 million in wildfire-related expenses, which the company incurred in the previous year's quarter.
由於Pipestone天然氣廠的產能擴張以及該公司在上一季度沒有1600萬美元的野火相關支出,採集和加工板塊的營業利潤率在本季度增長了9%。
The operating margin of the Liquids Infrastructure segment grew 9.8% due to higher storage contribution and contracted volumes at the Keyera Fort Saskatchewan complex.
液體基礎設施板塊的營業利潤率增長了9.8%,這要歸因於Keyera Fort Saskatchewan綜合大樓的存儲貢獻和合同量的增加。
The company's Marketing segment, which purchases and sells natural gas liquids, crude oil, and iso-octane, posted an operating margin of $190.8 million, representing a 175% increase from the previous quarter. Increased volume, higher realized price, and unrealized gains from risk management contracts boosted its operating margin.
該公司的營銷部門負責購買和銷售液化天然氣、原油和異辛烷,其營業利潤率爲1.908億美元,比上一季度增長175%。交易量的增加、已實現價格的上漲以及風險管理合同的未實現收益提高了其營業利潤率。
Now, let's look at its growth prospects.
現在,讓我們來看看它的增長前景。
Keyera's growth prospects
Keyera的增長前景
In the Gathering and Processing segment, Keyera continues to operate its gas plants at full capacity, thus driving its throughput. With its North region gas plants connecting to the KAPS pipeline system, these facilities have a competitive advantage in providing integrated gas processing, natural gas liquids, and condensate services.
在採集和加工領域,Keyera繼續滿負荷運營其天然氣發電廠萬億美元以提高其吞吐量。由於其北部地區的天然氣發電廠連接到KAPS管道系統,這些設施在提供綜合氣體處理、液化天然氣和冷凝水服務方面具有競爭優勢。
Moreover, the company continues strengthening its Liquids Infrastructure segment amid rising demand for fractionation services in Western Canada. It plans to add two fractionation units at the Fort Saskatchewan complex, increasing Keyera's net fractionation capacity to 155,000 barrels per day. Amid these growth initiatives, the company's management projects its adjusted EBITDA (keeping the Marketing segment constant) to grow at an annualized rate of 6–7% through 2025.
此外,在加拿大西部對分餾服務的需求不斷增長的情況下,該公司繼續加強其液體基礎設施板塊。它計劃在薩斯喀徹溫堡綜合體增加兩個分餾裝置,將Keyera的淨分餾能力提高到每天15.5萬桶。在這些增長舉措中,該公司的管理層預計,到2025年,其調整後的息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(保持營銷部門不變)的年化增長率將達到6-7%。
Keyera's financial position also looks healthy, with liquidity of $1.5 billion. At the end of the third quarter, its net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA stood at 1.9, well below its target of 2.5–3.
Keyera的財務狀況看起來也很健康,流動性爲15億美元。在第三季度末,其淨債務與調整後的息稅折舊攤銷前利潤爲1.9,遠低於2.5—3的目標。
Dividend and valuation
股息和估值
With around 65% of its cash flows underpinned by fee-for-service and take-or-pay contracts, Keyera generates healthy cash flows, irrespective of broader market conditions. Supported by these stable cash flows, the company has raised its dividends at 6% CAGR (Compound annual growth rate) since 2008. Its payout ratio has been healthy at 53% in 2023. Given its low-risk contracted business, growth initiatives, and healthy financial position, I expect Keyera to continue its dividend growth in the coming years.
Keyera約65%的現金流由收費服務合同和要麼接受或付款的合同支撐,無論大盤條件如何,都能產生健康的現金流。在這些穩定的現金流的支持下,該公司自2008年以來已將其股息提高到6%的複合年增長率(複合年增長率)。到2023年,其派息率一直保持在53%。鑑於其低風險的合同業務、增長計劃和健康的財務狀況,我預計Keyera將在未來幾年繼續其股息增長。
Moreover, Keyera's valuation looks attractive, with its NTM (next 12 months) price-to-sales and enterprise value-to-EBITDA multiples at 1.5 and 12, respectively. Considering its consistent dividend growth, healthy growth prospects, and cheaper valuation, I believe Keyera would be an excellent buy now.
此外,Keyera的估值看起來很有吸引力,其nTM(未來12個月)的市值與銷售額和企業價值與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的倍數分別爲1.5和12。考慮到其持續的股息增長、健康的增長前景和更低的估值,我認爲Keyera現在將是一個不錯的收購。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。