Is Asana (NYSE:ASAN) A Risky Investment?
Is Asana (NYSE:ASAN) A Risky Investment?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Asana, Inc. (NYSE:ASAN) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
禾倫·巴菲特曾 famously 說過:『波動性遠不是風險的同義詞。』所以在考慮任何給定股票的風險時,考慮債務可能是顯而易見的,因爲過多的債務可以讓一家公司破產。我們可以看到阿莎娜公司(紐交所:ASAN)確實在其業務中使用債務。但真正的問題是,這些債務是否讓公司變得有風險。
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時有危險?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果一家企業無力償還債務,它就完全處於債權人的支配之下。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法定義務,股東可能一無所獲。儘管這種情況不太常見,我們經常看到負債公司因爲債權人強迫他們以低於市價的價格發行股本而導致股東永久稀釋。當然,債務的好處在於,它通常代表着廉價資本,特別是當它取代公司中具備以高回報率再投資能力的稀釋時。當我們考慮一家公司使用債務時,我們首先看的是現金和債務兩者合一。
What Is Asana's Net Debt?
阿莎娜的淨債務是多少?
As you can see below, Asana had US$39.9m of debt at October 2024, down from US$44.9m a year prior. However, its balance sheet shows it holds US$455.3m in cash, so it actually has US$415.4m net cash.
正如您在下方看到的,阿莎娜在2024年10月的債務爲3990萬美元,比一年前的4490萬美元有所下降。然而,其資產負債表顯示其持有現金爲45530萬美元,因此實際上它有41540萬美元的淨現金。
How Healthy Is Asana's Balance Sheet?
阿莎娜的資產負債表健康嗎?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Asana had liabilities of US$383.0m due within a year, and liabilities of US$251.9m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$455.3m as well as receivables valued at US$66.9m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$112.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,阿莎娜有負債38300萬美元將在一年內到期,25190萬美元將在之後到期。爲了抵消這些負債,它擁有45530萬美元的現金和價值6690萬美元的應收賬款,均將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出11270萬美元。
Given Asana has a market capitalization of US$5.06b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Asana also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Asana's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
考慮到阿莎娜的市值爲50.6億美元,很難相信這些負債會帶來什麼威脅。不過,很明顯我們應該繼續監控它的資產負債表,以免發生不利變化。雖然它確實有需要關注的負債,但阿莎娜的現金多於債務,因此我們相當有信心它能夠安全管理其債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是開始的地方。但更重要的是,它未來的盈利能力將判斷阿莎娜能否保持健康的資產負債表。因此,如果你想了解專業人士的看法,你可能會發現這個關於分析師盈利預測的免費報告很有趣。
In the last year Asana wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 12%, to US$707m. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.
在過去的一年中,阿莎娜的息稅前利潤(EBIT)水平上未能實現盈利,但成功將營業收入增長了12%,達到了70700萬美元。這個增長速度對於我們的口味來說有點慢,但每個行業都需要各種類型的公司。
So How Risky Is Asana?
那麼阿莎娜有多大風險?
Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And the fact is that over the last twelve months Asana lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. Indeed, in that time it burnt through US$27m of cash and made a loss of US$256m. But the saving grace is the US$415.4m on the balance sheet. That kitty means the company can keep spending for growth for at least two years, at current rates. Summing up, we're a little skeptical of this one, as it seems fairly risky in the absence of free cashflow. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Asana you should be aware of.
從統計學上講,虧損的公司比盈利的公司風險更大。而實際上,在過去的十二個月裏,阿莎娜在息稅前利潤(EBIT)方面出現了虧損。確實,在那段時間裏,它燒掉了2700萬美元的現金,並虧損了25600萬美元。但值得慶幸的是,資產負債表上有41540萬美元的現金。這意味着公司可以在目前的支出水平下,繼續用於增長,至少兩年。總而言之,我們對這個情況有點懷疑,因爲在沒有自由現金流的情況下,它似乎相當風險。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到最多關於債務的信息。但最終,每個公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。實際上,我們發現了四個值得注意的警告信號,阿莎娜需要引起警惕。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
當一切塵埃落定時,有時更容易專注於那些甚至不需要債務的公司。讀者可以立即免費查看零淨債務的成長股列表。
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