US$14.67 - That's What Analysts Think Methode Electronics, Inc. (NYSE:MEI) Is Worth After These Results
US$14.67 - That's What Analysts Think Methode Electronics, Inc. (NYSE:MEI) Is Worth After These Results
A week ago, Methode Electronics, Inc. (NYSE:MEI) came out with a strong set of second-quarter numbers that could potentially lead to a re-rate of the stock. Revenues and losses per share were both better than expected, with revenues of US$293m leading estimates by 9.0%. Statutory losses were smaller than the analystsexpected, coming in at US$0.05 per share. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Methode Electronics after the latest results.
一週前,methode electronics,Inc. (紐交所:MEI)發佈了強勁的第二季度業績,這可能會導致股票的重新評級。營業收入和每股虧損均好於預期,營業收入爲29300萬美元,超出預期9.0%。法定虧損小於分析師的預期,每股爲0.05美元。分析師通常會在每次業績時更新他們的預測,我們可以從他們的估計中判斷他們對公司的看法是否發生了變化,或者是否有新的關注點。讀者會高興地知道,我們已彙總最新的法定預測,以查看分析師在最新結果後是否改變了對methode electronics的看法。
Taking into account the latest results, Methode Electronics' four analysts currently expect revenues in 2025 to be US$1.09b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. The loss per share is expected to greatly reduce in the near future, narrowing 87% to US$0.33. Before this latest report, the consensus had been expecting revenues of US$1.08b and US$0.70 per share in losses. Although the revenue estimates have not really changed Methode Electronics'future looks a little different to the past, with a very favorable reduction to the loss per share forecasts in particular.
考慮到最新的結果,methode electronics的四位分析師目前預計2025年的營業收入爲10.9億美金,基本上與過去12個月相符。每股虧損預計在不久的將來會大幅減少,減少87%至0.33美元。在此最新報告之前,市場普遍預計營業收入爲10.8億美金以及每股虧損0.70美元。儘管營業收入的預測沒有真正變化,但methode electronics的未來看起來與過去略有不同,尤其是在每股虧損預測方面有極爲有利的減少。
These new estimates led to the consensus price target rising 29% to US$14.67, with lower forecast losses suggesting things could be looking up for Methode Electronics. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. There are some variant perceptions on Methode Electronics, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$16.00 and the most bearish at US$14.00 per share. This is a very narrow spread of estimates, implying either that Methode Electronics is an easy company to value, or - more likely - the analysts are relying heavily on some key assumptions.
這些新估計導致共識價格目標上升29%至14.67美元,較低的預期虧損暗示methode electronics的前景可能好轉。不過,另一種看待價格目標的方式是考慮分析師提出的價格目標區間,因爲廣泛的估計範圍可能表明對業務的可能結果有多樣的看法。對於methode electronics存在一些不同的看法,最看好的分析師將其估值定爲16.00美元,而最看淡的則爲每股14.00美元。這是一個非常狹窄的估計範圍,暗示methode electronics要估值比較容易,或更可能的是,分析師在依賴一些關鍵假設。
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We would highlight that Methode Electronics' revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 1.1% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 2.3% p.a. growth over the last five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 7.3% per year. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Methode Electronics is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.
當然,另一種看待這些預測的方法是將其與行業本身進行對比。我們想指出,methode electronics 的營業收入增長預計將放緩,預測到2025年底年化增長率爲1.1%,遠低於過去五年曆史平均2.3%的年增長率。作爲比較,該行業中有分析師覆蓋的其他公司預計將以每年7.3%的速度增長營業收入。考慮到預測的增長放緩,顯然methode electronics 預計也會比其他行業參與者增長得更慢。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。
The most important thing to take away is that the analysts reconfirmed their loss per share estimates for next year. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Methode Electronics' revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.
最重要的是,分析師重新確認了他們對明年每股虧損的預估。幸運的是,分析師們也重新確認了他們的營業收入預估,表明其與預期相符。儘管我們的數據確實表明methode electronics 的營業收入預計會低於更廣泛的行業水平。我們注意到目標價格的上調,表明分析師認爲該業務的內在價值可能會隨着時間的推移而提高。
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Methode Electronics analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.
話雖如此,公司收益的長期軌跡遠比明年更爲重要。我們從多位methode electronics 分析師那裏獲得了到2027年的預估,您可以在我們的平台上免費查看。
Even so, be aware that Methode Electronics is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...
即便如此,請注意,methode electronics 在我們的投資分析中顯示出2個警示信號,其中1個讓我們感到不安……
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