Korn Ferry (NYSE:KFY) Just Released Its Second-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates
Korn Ferry (NYSE:KFY) Just Released Its Second-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates
Last week, you might have seen that Korn Ferry (NYSE:KFY) released its second-quarter result to the market. The early response was not positive, with shares down 8.7% to US$71.56 in the past week. Revenues of US$674m were in line with forecasts, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) came in below expectations at US$1.14, missing estimates by 4.9%. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.
上週,你可能已經看到光輝國際(紐約證券交易所代碼:KFY)向市場發佈了第二季度業績。早期的反應並不樂觀,過去一週股價下跌8.7%,至71.56美元。6.74億美元的收入與預期一致,儘管法定每股收益(EPS)低於預期,爲1.14美元,比預期低4.9%。對於投資者來說,這是一個重要時刻,因爲他們可以在報告中追蹤公司的業績,看看專家對明年的預測,看看對該業務的預期是否有任何變化。我們認爲,讀者會發現分析師對明年最新(法定)業績後的預測很有趣。
Taking into account the latest results, Korn Ferry's five analysts currently expect revenues in 2025 to be US$2.69b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory per share are forecast to be US$4.70, approximately in line with the last 12 months. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$2.72b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$4.74 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.
考慮到最新業績,光輝國際的五位分析師目前預計2025年的收入爲26.9億美元,與過去12個月大致持平。預計法定每股收益爲4.70美元,與過去12個月大致持平。在本報告發布之前,分析師一直在模擬2025年的收入爲27.2億美元,每股收益(EPS)爲4.74美元。因此,很明顯,儘管分析師已經更新了估計,但在最新業績公佈後,對該業務的預期沒有重大變化。
There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of US$80.25, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. The most optimistic Korn Ferry analyst has a price target of US$84.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$72.00. With such a narrow range of valuations, the analysts apparently share similar views on what they think the business is worth.
收入或收益預期或80.25美元的目標股價沒有變化,這表明該公司在最近的業績中達到了預期。但是,固定單一價格目標可能是不明智的,因爲共識目標實際上是分析師目標股價的平均值。因此,一些投資者喜歡查看估計範圍,看看對公司的估值是否有任何分歧。最樂觀的光輝國際分析師將目標股價定爲每股84.00美元,而最悲觀的分析師則將目標股價定爲72.00美元。由於估值範圍如此狹窄,分析師顯然對他們認爲的業務價值有相似的看法。
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. These estimates imply that revenue is expected to slow, with a forecast annualised decline of 1.6% by the end of 2025. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 10% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 6.2% annually for the foreseeable future. It's pretty clear that Korn Ferry's revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.
當然,看待這些預測的另一種方法是將它們與行業本身聯繫起來。這些估計表明,收入預計將放緩,預計到2025年底年化下降1.6%。這表明與過去五年的10%的年增長率相比已大幅下降。相比之下,我們的數據表明,在可預見的將來,預計同一行業的其他公司(有分析師報道)的收入每年將增長6.2%。很明顯,光輝渡輪的收入表現預計將大大低於整個行業。
The Bottom Line
底線
The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
最明顯的結論是,該業務的前景最近沒有重大變化,分析師的收益預測保持穩定,與先前的估計一致。從好的方面來看,收入估計沒有重大變化;儘管預測表明它們的表現將比整個行業差。共識目標股價沒有實際變化,這表明該業務的內在價值與最新估計相比沒有發生任何重大變化。
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Korn Ferry going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..
話雖如此,公司收益的長期軌跡比明年重要得多。在Simply Wall St,我們有分析師對光輝國際到2027年的全方位估計,你可以在我們的平台上免費看到這些估計。
And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Korn Ferry you should know about.
那風險呢?每家公司都有它們,我們發現了一個你應該知道的 Korn Ferry 警告標誌。
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