iHeartMedia, Inc. (NASDAQ:IHRT) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 50% gain in the last month alone. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, iHeartMedia may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x, considering almost half of all companies in the Media industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 0.9x and even P/S higher than 4x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
How iHeartMedia Has Been Performing
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, iHeartMedia's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on iHeartMedia.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as iHeartMedia's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. Still, the latest three year period was better as it's delivered a decent 11% overall rise in revenue. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 2.4% each year over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 5.3% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this in consideration, its clear as to why iHeartMedia's P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
iHeartMedia's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that iHeartMedia maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for iHeartMedia (2 are concerning) you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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