We Think Vulcan Materials (NYSE:VMC) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
We Think Vulcan Materials (NYSE:VMC) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Vulcan Materials Company (NYSE:VMC) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
霍華德·馬克斯說得很好,他表示,與其擔心股票價格波動,'我擔心的是永久性損失的可能性……我認識的每個實用投資者也都擔心這個。' 當我們考慮一家公司有多大的風險時,我們總是喜歡關注它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過重可能導致毀滅。重要的是,火神材料公司(紐交所:VMC)確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這些債務帶來了多少風險?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務會帶來風險?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
債務是幫助企業成長的工具,但如果企業無力償還債權人,那麼它就處於他們的掌控之下。如果情況變得非常糟糕,債權人可以控制企業。雖然這種情況並不常見,但我們經常看到有負債的公司因爲債權人迫使它們以低於市價的價格募集資本而不得不永久稀釋股東權益。話雖如此,最常見的情況是,公司合理地管理其債務,並處理得當,從而獲得自己的利益。考慮企業的債務水平的第一步是同時考慮企業的現金和債務。
What Is Vulcan Materials's Net Debt?
火神材料的淨債務是多少?
As you can see below, Vulcan Materials had US$3.33b of debt at September 2024, down from US$3.87b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$433.2m, its net debt is less, at about US$2.90b.
正如您在下面看到的,火神材料在2024年9月的債務爲33.3億美元,較前一年的38.7億美元有所下降。然而,由於它有43320萬美元的現金儲備,淨債務較少,約爲29億美元。
A Look At Vulcan Materials' Liabilities
火神材料的負債情況概覽
The latest balance sheet data shows that Vulcan Materials had liabilities of US$774.1m due within a year, and liabilities of US$5.68b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$433.2m and US$1.02b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$5.01b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,火神材料在一年內有負債77410萬美元,而在此之後的負債爲56.8億。不過,它擁有43320萬美元的現金和10.2億美元的應收賬款。所以,它的負債總額比它的現金及短期應收賬款多出50.1億美元。
Since publicly traded Vulcan Materials shares are worth a very impressive total of US$37.7b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
由於公開交易的火神材料股票總值爲377億美金,因此這種負債水平似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。但負債的確存在,因此我們建議股東們繼續關注資產負債表的變化。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Service Corporation International的債務是其EBITDA的3.5倍,而其EBIT可覆蓋其利息開支的3.7倍。綜合考慮,雖然我們不希望看到債務水平上升,但我們認爲它可以應對當前的槓桿。好消息是,Service Corporation International在過去12個月中將其EBIT提高了2.9%,從而逐漸降低了其相對於收益的債務水平。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中獲得了有關債務的大部分內容。但是,相對於資產負債表,更重要的是未來收益,這將決定Service Corporation International維持健康資產負債表的能力。如果您關注未來,您可以查看此免費報告,其中有分析師的利潤預測。
With net debt sitting at just 1.5 times EBITDA, Vulcan Materials is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And it boasts interest cover of 8.8 times, which is more than adequate. Fortunately, Vulcan Materials grew its EBIT by 7.9% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Vulcan Materials's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
火神材料的淨債務僅爲EBITDA的1.5倍,可以說槓桿相對保守。它的利息覆蓋率爲8.8倍,算是相當充足。幸運的是,火神材料在過去一年中EBIT增長了7.9%,這使得債務負擔看起來更可控。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是開始的明顯地方。但未來的收益,更多地將判斷火神材料維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想知道專業人士的看法,你可能會覺得這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告值得關注。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Vulcan Materials produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 51% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
最後,儘管稅務機構可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸方只接受冷硬現金。因此,邏輯步驟是觀察EBIT中實際自由現金流的比例。在過去三年中,火神材料產生了強勁的自由現金流,相當於其EBIT的51%,這是我們所期待的。這一自由現金流使公司在適當的時候能夠償還債務。
Our View
我們的觀點
Vulcan Materials's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And its net debt to EBITDA is good too. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Vulcan Materials can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. Of course, we wouldn't say no to the extra confidence that we'd gain if we knew that Vulcan Materials insiders have been buying shares: if you're on the same wavelength, you can find out if insiders are buying by clicking this link.
火神材料的利息覆蓋比率表明它能夠像克里斯蒂亞諾·羅納爾多對抗14歲以下守門員那樣輕鬆處理其債務。此外,它的淨債務與EBITDA比率也很不錯。綜合考慮上述所有因素,我們認爲火神材料能夠相對輕鬆地處理其債務。當然,雖然這種槓桿可以提高股本回報,但它確實帶來了更高的風險,因此值得關注。當然,如果我們知道火神材料的內部人士正在買入股票,這將給我們帶來額外的信心:如果你有同樣的想法,可以點擊這個鏈接查看內部人士是否在買入。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
每天結束時,通常更好地關注那些沒有淨債務的公司。您可以查看我們特別名單上的這些公司(所有這些公司都有盈利增長記錄)。這是免費的。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。