Is Tilray Brands (NASDAQ:TLRY) A Risky Investment?
Is Tilray Brands (NASDAQ:TLRY) A Risky Investment?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Tilray Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ:TLRY) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
伯克希爾哈撒韋的查理·芒格背後的外部基金經理李錄在談到「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受資本永久損失」時,毫不掩飾。 當我們考慮一家公司有多大風險時,我們總是喜歡看它使用債務,因爲債務過多可能導致滅頂之災。 我們注意到Tilray Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ:TLRY) 的資產負債表上確實有債務。 但更重要的問題是:這些債務產生了多大風險?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時有危險?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
債務和其他負債對於一家企業來說存在風險,當它無法輕鬆地通過自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資本來履行這些義務時。最終,如果公司無法履行法律義務償還債務,股東可能一無所獲。然而,更常見(但仍然痛苦)的情況是:其必須以低價募集新的股權資本,從而永久地稀釋股東的持股。當然,許多公司使用債務來資助增長,而沒有任何負面後果。當考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是將其現金和債務放在一起看。
What Is Tilray Brands's Net Debt?
Tilray Brands的淨負債是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Tilray Brands had US$322.1m of debt in August 2024, down from US$552.9m, one year before. On the flip side, it has US$280.1m in cash leading to net debt of about US$42.1m.
您可以點擊下方的圖形查看歷史數字,但顯示Tilray Brands在2024年8月的債務爲32210萬美元,比一年前的55290萬美元下降。 另一方面,它有28010萬美元的現金,導致淨負債約爲4210萬美元。

How Strong Is Tilray Brands' Balance Sheet?
Tilray品牌的資產負債表有多強?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Tilray Brands had liabilities of US$293.5m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$484.9m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$280.1m in cash and US$104.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$394.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
從最近的資產負債表中可以看出,Tilray品牌有US$29350萬的短期到期負債,以及US$48490萬的長期負債。與此相抵,它有US$28010萬的現金和US$10400萬的應收賬款,這些款項在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的組合多了US$39440萬。
This deficit isn't so bad because Tilray Brands is worth US$1.16b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Tilray Brands's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
這個赤字並不是那麼糟糕,因爲Tilray品牌價值US$11.6億,因此可能會籌集足夠資本來鞏固其資產負債表,如果需要的話。但很明顯,我們肯定要仔細審查它是否能在不稀釋的情況下管理債務。資產負債表顯然是在分析債務時要重點關注的領域。但最重要的是未來收益,決定Tilray品牌能否維持健康的資產負債表。因此,如果您想知道專業人士的看法,您可能會發現這份關於分析師盈利預測的免費報告很有趣。
Over 12 months, Tilray Brands reported revenue of US$812m, which is a gain of 25%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.
在12個月內,Tilray品牌報告的營業收入爲US$81200萬,增長了25%,儘管在報告期內未報告任何利息和稅前盈利。希望這家公司能夠通過增長實現盈利。
Caveat Emptor
買方自負。
Even though Tilray Brands managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. Indeed, it lost US$97m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled US$82m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Tilray Brands , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
儘管Tilray品牌對上線增長的掌握相當嫺熟,但現實殘酷的事實是其在EBIt水平上虧損。事實上,在EBIt水平上虧損了US$9700萬。當我們看到這一點並回顧其資產負債表上的負債,相對於現金,我們認爲這家公司擁有任何債務是不明智的。坦率地說,我們認爲資產負債表遠未達到匹配水平,儘管隨着時間的推移可能會有所改善。另一個需要謹慎的原因是,過去12個月它流出了US$8200萬的負自由現金流。因此,我們可以說我們認爲這支股票非常有風險。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解到了有關債務的大部分情況。然而,並不是所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。我們已經確定了Tilray品牌的2個警示信號,了解它們應該是您投資流程的一部分。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。