Investors in Electronic Arts (NASDAQ:EA) Have Seen Notable Returns of 66% Over the Past Five Years
Investors in Electronic Arts (NASDAQ:EA) Have Seen Notable Returns of 66% Over the Past Five Years
If you buy and hold a stock for many years, you'd hope to be making a profit. But more than that, you probably want to see it rise more than the market average. But Electronic Arts Inc. (NASDAQ:EA) has fallen short of that second goal, with a share price rise of 62% over five years, which is below the market return. Some buyers are laughing, though, with an increase of 22% in the last year.
如果你購買並持有一隻股票多年,你希望能夠盈利。但更重要的是,你可能希望看到它的漲幅超過市場平均水平。然而,藝電(納斯達克:EA)在這個第二個目標上卻未能達到,過去五年股價上漲了62%,低於市場收益。一些買家在過去一年笑了,因爲股價上漲了22%。
Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.
現在值得更詳細地了解該公司的基本面,因爲這將幫助我們判斷長期股東回報是否與基礎業務的表現相匹配。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
雖然一些人仍然相信有效市場假說,但已經證明市場是過度反應的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。一個不完美但簡單的方法來考慮公司市場看法的變化是比較每股收益(EPS)的變化和股價的波動。
During five years of share price growth, Electronic Arts actually saw its EPS drop 15% per year.
在五年的股價增長期間,藝電的每股收益實際上每年下降了15%。
Essentially, it doesn't seem likely that investors are focused on EPS. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
實際上,投資者似乎並沒有關注EPS。由於EPS的變化似乎與股價的變化不相關,因此值得關注其他指標。
We doubt the modest 0.5% dividend yield is attracting many buyers to the stock. In contrast revenue growth of 8.3% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Electronic Arts is growing, a real positive. It's quite possible that management are prioritizing revenue growth over EPS growth at the moment.
我們懷疑僅爲0.5%的分紅派息收益率吸引了很多買入這個股票。相較之下,8.3%的營業收入年增長率可能被視爲藝電正在增長的證據,這是一個真正的積極因素。目前,管理層可能在優先考慮營業收入增長而非每股收益增長。
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
以下圖像顯示了公司的營業收入和盈利(隨時間變化)(單擊以查看準確的數字)。
Electronic Arts is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts
藝電是一隻知名股票,有大量分析師覆蓋,暗示未來增長具有一定可見性。因此,我們建議查看這份免費報告,展示共識預測。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Electronic Arts, it has a TSR of 66% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮總股東回報(TSR)和股價回報之間的差異。TSR是一個回報計算,考慮到現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何分紅都被再投資)以及任何折價資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以公平地說,TSR爲支付分紅的股票提供了一個更完整的圖景。對於藝電而言,過去5年其TSR爲66%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報。而且,似乎分紅支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異!
A Different Perspective
另一種看法
Electronic Arts shareholders gained a total return of 23% during the year. Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. The silver lining is that the gain was actually better than the average annual return of 11% per year over five year. This suggests the company might be improving over time. Most investors take the time to check the data on insider transactions. You can click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling.
藝電的股東在這一年裏獲得了23%的總回報。不幸的是,這低於市場回報。值得慶幸的是,這一增長實際上超過了五年期間每年11%的平均年回報。這表明公司可能在逐漸改善。大多數投資者會花時間檢查內部交易的數據。您可以點擊這裏查看是否有內部人士在買入或賣出。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
當然,您可能通過在其他地方尋找會找到一筆極好的投資。因此,請查看我們預計會增長收入的公司免費名單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。