South Korea's President To Be Impeached In 2024? Polymarket Traders Are Unsure
South Korea's President To Be Impeached In 2024? Polymarket Traders Are Unsure
This uncertainty has already rippled through South Korea's financial markets.Political uncertainty surrounding South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol has spurred heated activity on prediction market Polymarket on Wednesday.
圍繞韓國總統尹錫悅的政治不確定性在週三引發了預測市場Polymarket的激烈活動。
What Happened: Data from the prediction market shows a 37% probability of Yoon being impeached before the end of 2024.
發生了什麼：預測市場的數據表明，尹錫悅在2024年結束前被彈劾的概率爲37%。
Another Polymarket question gives a 29% chance of Yoon being removed from office, underscoring heightened political instability in the country.
另一項Polymarket問題顯示尹錫悅被罷免的可能性爲29%，強調了國內政治不穩定的加劇。
This uncertainty has already rippled through South Korea's financial markets.
這種不確定性已經波及了韓國的金融市場。
Key technology and industrial stocks have taken a hit, with Samsung Electronics (OTC:SSNLF) down 1.12%, NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) supplier SK Hynix (OTC:HXSCF) slipping 0.061%, and Hyundai Motor (OTC:HYMTF) falling 0.70%.
關鍵科技和工業股票受到影響，三星電子（場外交易：SSNLF）下跌1.12%，英偉達（納斯達克：NVDA）供應商sk海力士（場外交易：HXSCF）下滑0.061%，現代汽車（場外交易：HYMTF）下跌0.70%。
The turmoil has also affected U.S.-listed South Korean equities, with Posco Holdings (NYSE:PKX) dropping 4.36% in regular trading before seeing a slight recovery after hours.
動盪也影響了在美國上市的韓國股票，浦項鋼鐵（紐交所：PKX）在正常交易中下跌4.36%，但在盤後交易中稍微回升。
South Korean ETFs in the U.S., including the iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (NYSE:EWY) and Franklin FTSE South Korea ETF (NYSE:FLKR), also saw mixed performances, signaling broader market apprehension.
在美國的韓國etf，包括韓國etf-ishares msci（紐交所：EWY）和富蘭克林FTSE韓國etf（紐交所：FLKR），也表現不一，顯示出市場的廣泛擔憂。
The situation has also impacted the South Korean won, which weakened by 0.21% against the U.S. dollar, trading at 1,416.65.
局勢還影響了韓國 won，兌美元貶值0.21%，交易在1,416.65。
Analysts noted that South Korea's crucial role in global supply chains, particularly in semiconductors and automotive production, amplifies the stakes of this political drama.
分析師指出，韓國在全球供應鏈中，特別是在半導體和汽車生產方面的重要角色，加大了這一政治戲劇的風險。
Also Read: Vladimir Putin Says 'Nobody Can Ban Bitcoin,' Stresses Crypto Will Develop 'One Way Or The Other'
相關閱讀：弗拉基米爾·普京表示「沒有人可以禁止比特幣」，強調數字貨幣將「無論如何」發展。
Why It Matters: The cryptocurrency market, too, felt the shockwaves.
重要性：數字貨幣市場同樣感受到震盪。
Major coins like Bitcoin and Ethereum plunged on Upbit, South Korea's largest crypto exchange, trading at a steep discount compared to international markets.
像比特幣和以太幣這樣的主要幣種在韓國最大的數字貨幣交易所Upbit上暴跌，交易價格與國際市場相比大幅折價。
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) dropped as low as $71,800 on Upbit compared to $95,500 on Coinbase, while Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) fell to $2,700 on Upbit before recovering.
比特幣（CRYPTO：BTC）在Upbit上的最低價跌至71,800美元，而在Coinbase上爲95,500美元，而以太幣（CRYPTO：ETH）在Upbit上跌至2,700美元后有所回升。
The Korea Premium Index, which tracks price differences between South Korean and global exchanges, dipped to -14.67 during the chaos, signaling significant retail selling pressure.
韓國溢價指數跟蹤韓國和全球交易所之間的價格差異，在混亂期間降至-14.67，顯示出顯著的零售賣壓。
However, the situation stabilized after President Yoon reversed his martial law decision following parliamentary pushback, with Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounding to align more closely with global prices.
然而，在尹總統因國會反對而撤回戒嚴法決定後，局勢穩定，比特幣和以太幣的價格也回升，與全球價格更接近。
Analysts noted this episode's divergence from the traditional "Kimchi Premium," where South Korean crypto prices often trade at a significant premium.
分析師指出，這一事件與傳統「泡菜溢價」的背離，韓國的數字貨幣價格通常以顯著的溢價交易。
Historical patterns add further context to the political stakes.
歷史模式爲政治風險增加了更多背景。
South Korea has a tumultuous history of leadership changes, with several former presidents either overthrown, impeached, or imprisoned.
韓國有着動盪不安的領導更替歷史，許多前總統被推翻、彈劾或監禁。
Yoon's presidency, marked by controversy and challenges, now faces increasing scrutiny and the potential for a similar fate.
尹總統的任期充滿爭議和挑戰，現在面臨越來越多的審查以及類似命運的潛在可能。
- Bitcoin, Ethereum ETFs Recorded Over $800 Million In Inflows On Tuesday
- 比特幣、以太幣 etf 在週二記錄了超過80000萬的資金流入。
Photo: Shutterstock
Photo: shutterstock
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。
