Is Ecovyst (NYSE:ECVT) A Risky Investment?
Is Ecovyst (NYSE:ECVT) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Ecovyst Inc. (NYSE:ECVT) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
傳奇基金經理李路(查理·芒格支持的)曾表示:'最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性資本損失。' 所以,當你考慮任何特定股票的風險時,考慮債務可能很明顯,因爲過多的債務可能會使一家公司陷入困境。重要的是,Ecovyst Inc.(紐交所:ECVT)確實承擔了債務。但真正的問題是這項債務是否使公司變得風險較大。
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無法償還貸款,那麼它就處於貸方的掌控之下。如果公司無法履行償還債務的法定義務,股東可能與無所得的情況下離開。然而,一個更頻繁(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低於市場價的價格發行股票,以永久性稀釋股東,以鞏固其資產負債表。透過這種行爲,債務可以成爲需要高回報投資的企業獲得資本的極好工具。考慮企業使用了多少債務時,首先要做的是查看企業的現金和債務的數額。
How Much Debt Does Ecovyst Carry?
Ecovyst的債務有多少?
As you can see below, Ecovyst had US$866.0m of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$129.7m, its net debt is less, at about US$736.3m.
正如您在下面看到的,Ecovyst在2024年9月的債務爲86600萬美元,和前一年差不多。您可以點擊圖表獲取更詳細的信息。然而,由於它有12970萬美元的現金儲備,其淨債務減少到大約73630萬美元。
How Strong Is Ecovyst's Balance Sheet?
Ecovyst的資產負債表有多強?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Ecovyst had liabilities of US$111.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$998.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$129.7m and US$76.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$904.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看到,Ecovyst有到期於一年內的負債爲11180萬美元,以及到期於之後的負債爲99880萬美元。另一方面,它有現金爲12970萬美元和到期於一年內的應收款爲7680萬美元。因此,其負債總額比現金和近期應收款總和多出90420萬美元。
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$926.3m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Ecovyst's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
相較於其92630萬美元的市值,這一赤字是相當可觀的,因此確實暗示了股東應關注Ecovyst的債務使用。這意味着如果公司需要迅速改善其資產負債表,股東可能會被嚴重稀釋。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
爲了衡量公司債務相對於其收入的規模,我們計算其淨債務除以利息、稅收、折舊和攤銷前利潤(EBITDA),並計算其利息前稅利潤(EBIT)除以利息支出(其利息覆蓋率)。這樣,我們考慮了債務的絕對金額,以及支付的利率。
While Ecovyst's debt to EBITDA ratio (3.9) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 2.1, suggesting high leverage. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Even more troubling is the fact that Ecovyst actually let its EBIT decrease by 8.1% over the last year. If it keeps going like that paying off its debt will be like running on a treadmill -- a lot of effort for not much advancement. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Ecovyst can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
雖然Ecovyst的債務與EBITDA的比率(3.9)表明它使用了一些債務,但其利息覆蓋率非常疲弱,僅爲2.1,這表明槓桿率很高。因此,股東可能應該意識到,利息支出似乎最近真的對業務產生了影響。更令人擔憂的是,Ecovyst的EBIT實際上在過去一年中下降了8.1%。如果繼續這樣下去,償還債務就像在跑步機上奔跑——付出很多努力卻沒有什麼進展。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到了大部分關於債務的知識。但最終,業務的未來盈利能力將決定Ecovyst是否能隨着時間的推移強化其資產負債表。因此,如果你關注未來,可以查看這份免費的報告,展示分析師的利潤預測。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Ecovyst generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 89% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
但我們最後的考慮也很重要,因爲一家公司不能用紙上利潤來還債;它需要寒冰現金。因此,合乎邏輯的步驟是查看EBIT中有多少比例與實際自由現金流相匹配。在過去三年中,Ecovyst生成的自由現金流達到其EBIT的非常強勁的89%,這超出了我們的預期。這使得它在理想情況下能夠償還債務。
Our View
我們的觀點
We'd go so far as to say Ecovyst's interest cover was disappointing. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Ecovyst stock a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Ecovyst is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
我們可以說,Ecovyst的利息覆蓋率讓人失望。 但是,至少它在將EBIT轉換爲自由現金流方面表現還不錯;這讓人感到鼓舞。 考慮到資產負債表和所有這些因素,我們確實認爲債務讓Ecovyst的股票有些風險。 有些人喜歡這種風險,但我們要意識到潛在的陷阱,所以我們可能更希望它承載更少的債務。 毫無疑問,我們通過資產負債表了解了大多數債務。 但最終,每家公司都可能存在資產負債表外的風險。 請注意,Ecovyst在我們的投資分析中顯示出1個警告信號,你應該知道...
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。