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Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For Next Year

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For Next Year

Abercrombie & Fitch公司超出了分析師的預期:看看大家對明年的預測是什麼
Simply Wall St ·  11/29 20:39

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (NYSE:ANF) investors will be delighted, with the company turning in some strong numbers with its latest results. Abercrombie & Fitch beat earnings, with revenues hitting US$1.2b, ahead of expectations, and statutory earnings per share outperforming analyst reckonings by a solid 12%. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (紐交所:ANF)的投資者一定會感到高興,因爲該公司最新業績交出了強勁的數字。Abercrombie & Fitch的每股收益超出預期,營業收入達到12億美金,遠超預期,法定每股收益比分析師的預估高出12%。盈利是投資者關注的一個重要時刻,因爲他們可以追蹤公司的業績,查看分析師對明年的預測,並判斷市場對公司的情緒是否有所改變。我們認爲讀者會對分析師最新的(法定)盈利報告後的明年預測感興趣。

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NYSE:ANF Earnings and Revenue Growth November 29th 2024
紐交所:ANF 每股收益和營業收入增長 2024年11月29日

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Abercrombie & Fitch's nine analysts is for revenues of US$5.22b in 2026. This would reflect a decent 8.3% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to reduce 6.9% to US$9.79 in the same period. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$5.18b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$9.58 in 2026. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.

考慮到最新的業績,Abercrombie & Fitch的九位分析師目前的共識是2026年營業收入爲52.2億美金。這將反映出相較於過去12個月,營業收入增加8.3%。法定每股收益預計在同一時期內將減少6.9%,降至9.79美金。在此份盈利報告之前,分析師們預測2026年的營業收入爲51.8億美金,每股收益爲9.58美金。分析師們似乎對該業務的看法變得更加看好,判斷基於他們新的每股收益預估。

There's been no major changes to the consensus price target of US$187, suggesting that the improved earnings per share outlook is not enough to have a long-term positive impact on the stock's valuation. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Abercrombie & Fitch at US$220 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$149. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.

對187美金的共識價格目標沒有重大變化,這表明優化後的每股收益前景不足以對股票的估值產生長期積極影響。不過,還有另一種看待價格目標的方法,就是觀察分析師提出的價格目標區間,因爲廣泛的預估範圍可能暗示對該業務可能結果的多元化看法。目前,最看好的分析師給Abercrombie & Fitch的股價估值爲每股220美金,而最看淡的則爲149美金。這表明估算之間仍然存在一定的多樣性,但分析師們似乎並不完全分歧,認爲股票可能是成功或失敗的局面。

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Abercrombie & Fitch'shistorical trends, as the 6.6% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2026 is roughly in line with the 6.6% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 4.7% annually. So although Abercrombie & Fitch is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's definitely expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

從更大的視角來看,我們理解這些預測的一種方式是將其與過去的表現和行業增長估計進行比較。我們可以從最新的估計中推斷,預測期待Abercrombie & Fitch延續其歷史趨勢,因爲到2026年年化營業收入增長6.6%大致與過去五年的年增長6.6%相符。與整體行業相比,分析師的估計(綜合)表明,行業的營業收入預計將以每年4.7%的速度增長。因此,儘管預計Abercrombie & Fitch將維持其營業收入增長率,但它的增長速度肯定會超過更廣泛的行業。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Abercrombie & Fitch following these results. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$187, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

這裏最重要的是,分析師上調了他們的每股收益估計,這表明在這些結果之後,對Abercrombie & Fitch的樂觀情緒明顯上升。幸運的是,營業收入的預測沒有重大變化,企業仍然預計將比更廣泛的行業增長得更快。共識價格目標保持在187美元,最新的估計沒有對其價格目標產生影響。

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Abercrombie & Fitch. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have forecasts for Abercrombie & Fitch going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

考慮到這些,我們不會太快對Abercrombie & Fitch得出結論。長期的盈利能力遠比明年的利潤更爲重要。我們有到2027年的Abercrombie & Fitch預測,你可以在我們的平台上免費查看它們。

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Abercrombie & Fitch that you need to take into consideration.

同樣值得注意的是,我們發現Abercrombie & Fitch有一個警示信號需要你考慮。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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