Earnings Update: Woodward, Inc. (NASDAQ:WWD) Just Reported Its Full-Year Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Forecasts
Earnings Update: Woodward, Inc. (NASDAQ:WWD) Just Reported Its Full-Year Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Forecasts
The annual results for Woodward, Inc. (NASDAQ:WWD) were released last week, making it a good time to revisit its performance. Woodward reported in line with analyst predictions, delivering revenues of US$3.3b and statutory earnings per share of US$6.01, suggesting the business is executing well and in line with its plan. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.
伍德沃德公司的年度業績(納斯達克:WWD)上週發佈,這是重新審視其業績的好時機。 伍德沃德的業績與分析師的預測一致,營業收入達到了33億美金,每股法定收益爲6.01美金,這表明業務運作良好,符合其計劃。 業績報告對投資者來說是重要的時刻,因爲他們可以跟蹤公司的表現,查看分析師對明年的預測,並了解對公司情緒是否有變化。 我們認爲讀者會覺得看到分析師最新的(法定)業績後預測對明年來說是有趣的。
After the latest results, the eleven analysts covering Woodward are now predicting revenues of US$3.40b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a modest 2.2% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are expected to shrink 4.9% to US$6.00 in the same period. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$3.39b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$5.83 in 2025. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.
在最新的業績報告後,覆蓋伍德沃德的11位分析師現在預測2025年的營業收入爲34億美金。如果達成,這將反映出較過去12個月溫和的2.2%營業收入增長。 法定每股收益預計在同期將減少4.9%,降至6.00美金。 在此次業績報告之前,分析師曾預測2025年的營業收入爲33.9億美金,每股收益(EPS)爲5.83美金。 根據他們最新的每股收益估計,分析師似乎對這項業務變得更加看好。
The consensus price target was unchanged at US$189, implying that the improved earnings outlook is not expected to have a long term impact on value creation for shareholders. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Woodward at US$228 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$151. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Woodward shareholders.
共識價格目標保持不變,爲189美金,這意味着改善的收益前景預計不會對股東的價值創造產生長期影響。 共識價格目標只是各個分析師目標的平均值,所以查看底層估計範圍的寬度可能會很有用。 目前,最看好的分析師爲伍德沃德的每股價值估計爲228美金,而最看淡的分析師則定價爲151美金。 分析師對這項業務的看法確實各不相同,但在我們看來,估計的分佈幅度並不足以表明極端結果會降臨到伍德沃德的股東身上。
Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that Woodward's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 2.2% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 3.8% p.a. growth over the last five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 4.7% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Woodward.
現在從更大範圍來看,我們理解這些預測的方式之一是比較它們與過去的表現和行業增長估計。 我們想強調的是,伍德沃德的營業收入增長預計將放緩,預期到2025年底的年化增長率爲2.2%,遠低於過去五年3.8%的歷史年增長率。 將此與行業中其他公司的(帶有分析師預測的)對比,整體上預計年營業收入增長爲4.7%。 因此,很明顯,儘管預計營業收入增長將放緩,但更廣泛的行業預計也將比伍德沃德增長得更快。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。
The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Woodward's earnings potential next year. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Woodward's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$189, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.
對我們來說,最大的信息是共識每股收益的上調,這表明對伍德沃德明年盈利能力的情緒明顯改善。幸運的是,分析師們也重新確認了他們的營業收入預測,這表明其表現與預期一致。儘管我們的數據確實表明,伍德沃德的營業收入預計會比更廣泛的行業表現更差。共識的價格目標保持在189美元,最新的估計對他們的價格目標沒有影響。
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Woodward analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.
話雖如此,該公司的盈利長期軌跡比明年更重要。我們有來自多位伍德沃德分析師的預測,延伸到2027年,您可以在我們的平台上免費查看。
It might also be worth considering whether Woodward's debt load is appropriate, using our debt analysis tools on the Simply Wall St platform, here.
考慮伍德沃德的債務負擔是否適當也許是值得的,可以使用我們在Simply Wall St平台上的債務分析工具。
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