NVR (NYSE:NVR) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
NVR (NYSE:NVR) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
由巴菲特的搭檔查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李錄毫不掩飾地說:「最大的投資風險並非價格波動,而是資本永久性損失。」 因此,顯而易見的是,當您考慮到任何特定股票的風險性時,您可能需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可能會使一家公司破產。 與許多其他公司一樣,NVR公司(紐交所:NVR)利用債務。 但更重要的問題是:這筆債務產生了多大風險?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務會帶來風險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
一般來說,當公司無法輕鬆償還債務(無論是通過籌集資本還是通過自身現金流)時,債務才真正成爲實際問題。資本主義的本質是「創造性破壞」過程,其中銀行家無情地清算了破產企業。然而,更頻繁但仍然代價高昂的情況是,公司必須以折價基礎發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以應對其資產負債表。通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要以高回報率投資於增長的企業非常好的工具。考慮公司的債務水平時的第一步是將其現金和債務一起考慮。
What Is NVR's Debt?
NVR的債務是多少?
As you can see below, NVR had US$911.6m of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. But it also has US$2.47b in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$1.56b net cash.
正如您在下文所看到的,NVR在2024年9月有91160萬美元的債務,與前一年大致相同。 您可以點擊圖表查看更詳細信息。 但它還有24.7億美元的現金用以抵消,這意味着NVR的淨現金爲15.6億美元。
How Strong Is NVR's Balance Sheet?
NVR的資產負債表有多強?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that NVR had liabilities of US$810.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.41b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$2.47b and US$35.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast US$292.9m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
我們可以從最近的資產負債表中看到,NVR短期到期負債爲81030萬美元,超過一年到期的負債爲14.1億美元。另一方面,NVR手頭有24.7億美元的現金和3560萬美元應收賬款。因此,其流動資產比總負債多了29290萬美元。
This state of affairs indicates that NVR's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the US$28.2b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Succinctly put, NVR boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
這種狀況表明NVR的資產負債表看起來相當穩固,因爲其總負債幾乎等於流動資產。所以可以很確定這家市值282億美元的公司很難出現現金短缺,但仍然值得關注資產負債表。簡而言之,NVR擁有淨現金,因此可以說其沒有沉重的債務負擔!
While NVR doesn't seem to have gained much on the EBIT line, at least earnings remain stable for now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine NVR's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
儘管NVR在EBIt方面沒有取得太多收益,但至少收益現在仍然穩定。毫無疑問,我們可以從資產負債表中了解債務的情況。但更重要的是,未來的收入,而不是其他因素,將決定NVR維持健康資產負債表的能力。所以如果你關注未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師盈利預測的免費報告。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. NVR may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, NVR recorded free cash flow worth 69% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
最後,一家公司只能用冰冷的現金償還債務,而不是會計利潤。NVR在資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但看一下企業將利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的情況會很有趣,因爲這會影響它對債務的需求和管理能力。在最近的三年中,NVR錄得的自由現金流價值爲其EBIt的69%,這是比較正常的,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅收。這筆冰冷的現金意味着它可以在需要時減少債務。
Summing Up
總之
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that NVR has net cash of US$1.56b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with free cash flow of US$1.2b, being 69% of its EBIT. So is NVR's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of NVR's earnings per share history for free.
雖然我們對債務問題感同身受,但您應該記住,NVR擁有15.6億美元的淨現金,以及比負債更多的流動資產。而且,其自由現金流爲12億美元,佔EBIt的69%。那麼,NVR的債務是否存在風險呢?在我們看來似乎並非如此。在大多數其他指標之上,我們認爲跟蹤每股收益增長速度是重要的,無論增長與否。如果您也意識到了這一點,那麼幸運的是,因爲今天您可以免費查看NVR每股收益歷史的互動圖表。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
每天結束時,通常更好地關注那些沒有淨債務的公司。您可以查看我們特別名單上的這些公司(所有這些公司都有盈利增長記錄)。這是免費的。
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