Agilysys, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AGYS) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 14.5x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the Software industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 5.5x and even P/S below 1.9x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
What Does Agilysys' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Agilysys' revenue growth of late has been pretty similar to most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this modest revenue performance will accelerate. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Agilysys.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Agilysys?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Agilysys' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 17%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 70% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 23% during the coming year according to the five analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 27%, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this in consideration, we believe it doesn't make sense that Agilysys' P/S is outpacing its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Final Word
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've concluded that Agilysys currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its forecast growth is lower than the wider industry. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. At these price levels, investors should remain cautious, particularly if things don't improve.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Agilysys (2 make us uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Agilysys' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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