Is Helen of Troy (NASDAQ:HELE) A Risky Investment?
Is Helen of Troy (NASDAQ:HELE) A Risky Investment?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Helen of Troy Limited (NASDAQ:HELE) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
霍華德·馬克斯(Howard Marks)的觀點表達得非常好,他說,與其擔心股價的波動性,'我擔心的是永久性損失的可能性... 我認識的每個實際投資者都擔心這一點。' 當我們考慮一家公司有多大風險時,我們總是喜歡看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過重可能導致毀滅。 我們可以看到海倫特洛伊家電有限公司(納斯達克HELE)在其業務中使用債務。 但這筆債務是否讓股東擔憂?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無力償還其貸款人,那麼企業就處於貸款人的掌控之下。最壞的情況下,公司無法償付其債權人,就會破產。然而,更頻繁(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以超低價格發行股票,永久性稀釋股東,以支持其資產負債表。當然,有很多公司使用債務資助增長,沒有任何負面影響。考慮一家公司的債務水平時,第一步是將其現金和債務合併考慮。
How Much Debt Does Helen of Troy Carry?
海倫特洛伊家電負債多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Helen of Troy had US$713.5m of debt in August 2024, down from US$844.9m, one year before. However, it also had US$22.6m in cash, and so its net debt is US$690.9m.
您可以點擊下面的圖表查看歷史數據,但圖表顯示海倫特洛伊家電在2024年8月的債務爲71350萬美元,低於一年前的84490萬美元。 但同時,它還有2260萬美元的現金,因此淨債務爲69090萬美元。
How Strong Is Helen of Troy's Balance Sheet?
海倫特洛伊家電的資產負債表有多強?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Helen of Troy had liabilities of US$508.7m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$804.1m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$22.6m and US$381.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$909.2m.
通過最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到海倫特洛伊有50870萬美元的負債在12個月內到期,而超過12個月到期的負債爲80410萬美元。另一方面,它有2260萬美元的現金和38100萬美元的應收賬款在一年內到期。因此,它的負債超過其現金和(近期)應收賬款的總和達90920萬美元。
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Helen of Troy has a market capitalization of US$1.64b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
雖然這看起來很多,但因爲海倫特洛伊的市值爲16.4億美元,所以如果需要的話,它可能通過籌集資本來加強資產負債表。但很明顯,我們絕對應該仔細檢查它是否能在不稀釋的情況下管理好債務。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
通過查看公司的淨債務與利息、稅、折舊、攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)之比以及它的利息費用(利息覆蓋率)可以衡量一個公司的債務負擔與收益能力。因此,我們考慮將債務與有無計算折舊和攤銷費用的收益相對比。
Helen of Troy has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.5 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 4.4 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Unfortunately, Helen of Troy saw its EBIT slide 9.3% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then its debt load will grow heavy like the heart of a polar bear watching its sole cub. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Helen of Troy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
海倫特洛伊的債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)比率爲2.5,且它的息稅前利潤(EBIT)覆蓋了利息支出的4.4倍。這一整體看來表明,雖然我們不希望看到債務水平上升,但我們認爲它可以應對目前的負債槓桿。不幸的是,海倫特洛伊在過去12個月裏看到其EBIT下降了9.3%。如果這一盈利趨勢持續下去,那麼其債務負擔將變得沉重,就像北極熊看着自己的幼崽一樣。毫無疑問,我們絕大多數了解債務都來源於資產負債表。但更重要的是,未來盈利將決定海倫特洛伊是否能維持健康的資產負債表。因此,如果你關注未來,你可以查看這份顯示分析師盈利預測的免費報告。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Helen of Troy recorded free cash flow worth 73% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,而不是會計利潤。因此,值得檢查的是EBIT有多少是由自由現金流支持的。在最近的三年裏,海倫特洛伊的自由現金流價值相當於其EBIT的73%,這在正常範圍內,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅。這筆冷硬現金意味着在需要時它可以減少債務。
Our View
我們的觀點
Neither Helen of Troy's ability to grow its EBIT nor its level of total liabilities gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. We think that Helen of Troy's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Helen of Troy you should know about.
海倫特洛伊家電的EBIt增長能力及其總負債水平並未讓我們對其承擔更多債務產生信心。 但是,將EBIt轉化爲自由現金流的能力講述了一個截然不同的故事,並表明了一些韌性。 我們認爲海倫特洛伊家電的債務在綜合考慮了上述數據點之後使其有點風險。 這並不一定是壞事,因爲槓桿可以提升股本回報率,但這是需要注意的問題。 當您分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是要重點關注的領域。 但最終,每家公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。 這些風險可能很難發現。 每家公司都存在這些風險,我們已經發現了海倫特洛伊家電的1個警告信號,這是您應該了解的。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。