It's not a stretch to say that Sonoco Products Company's (NYSE:SON) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.7x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in the United States, where the median P/E ratio is around 20x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Sonoco Products hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/E from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Sonoco Products.
Does Growth Match The P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Sonoco Products would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 41% decrease to the company's bottom line. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 55% as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 15% growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's curious that Sonoco Products' P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Key Takeaway
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Sonoco Products currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Sonoco Products (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If you're unsure about the strength of Sonoco Products' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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