We Think CBAK Energy Technology's (NASDAQ:CBAT) Robust Earnings Are Conservative
We Think CBAK Energy Technology's (NASDAQ:CBAT) Robust Earnings Are Conservative
CBAK Energy Technology, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CBAT) earnings announcement last week was disappointing for investors, despite the decent profit numbers. We did some digging and actually think they are being unnecessarily pessimistic.
中比能源科技公司(納斯達克:CBAT)上週的業績令投資者感到失望,儘管利潤數據表現不錯。我們進行了一些調查,認爲他們的悲觀情緒是不必要的。
A Closer Look At CBAK Energy Technology's Earnings
中比能源科技的盈利情況詳解
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
正如金融迷所知,現金流量的應計比率是評估公司自由現金流(FCF)與盈利狀況匹配程度的重要指標。要獲得應計比率,我們首先要將某個時期的FCF從盈利中減去,然後將該數字除以該時期的平均經營資產。這個比率告訴我們公司多少盈利沒有由自由現金流備支。
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
因此,負的應計比率對公司來說是積極的,而正的應計比率則是消極的。雖然應計比率高於零並不值得擔心,但當公司有相對較高的應計比率時,我們認爲這值得注意。引用Lewellen和Resutek 2014年的一篇論文:「應計比率較高的公司未來往往利潤較低」。
CBAK Energy Technology has an accrual ratio of -0.19 for the year to September 2024. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of US$38m, well over the US$11.5m it reported in profit. Given that CBAK Energy Technology had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of US$38m would seem to be a step in the right direction. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
中比能源科技截至2024年9月的應計比率爲-0.19。因此,其法定盈利遠低於其自由現金流。實際上,在過去的十二個月中,它報告的自由現金流爲3800萬美元,遠高於報告的1150萬美元的利潤。考慮到中比能源科技在前一對應期間的自由現金流爲負,最近十二個月的結果3800萬美元似乎是朝着正確方向邁出的一步。然而,還有其他值得考慮的因素。我們可以看到,飛凡項目對其法定利潤產生了影響,因此也影響了應計比率。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
這可能會讓您想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看基於其估計的未來盈利能力的互動圖表。
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
非常規項目如何影響利潤?
CBAK Energy Technology's profit was reduced by unusual items worth US$9.4m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. This is what you'd expect to see where a company has a non-cash charge reducing paper profits. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. CBAK Energy Technology took a rather significant hit from unusual items in the year to September 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit look worse than its underlying earnings power.
中比能源的利潤在過去十二個月因飛凡項目減少了940萬美元,這幫助其實現了高現金轉換,這在其飛凡項目中得到了體現。可以預見到,公司有非現金費用減少賬面利潤。看到飛凡項目拖累公司的利潤並不是什麼好事,但從好的一面看,情況可能會好轉得更快。我們調查了數千家上市公司,發現飛凡項目往往是一次性的。這並不奇怪,因爲這些項目被視爲飛凡。中比能源在截至2024年9月的年度中受到飛凡項目的明顯影響。其他因素相同的情況下,這可能會導致法定利潤看起來比其潛在盈利能力更糟糕。
Our Take On CBAK Energy Technology's Profit Performance
我們對中比能源利潤表現的看法
Considering both CBAK Energy Technology's accrual ratio and its unusual items, we think its statutory earnings are unlikely to exaggerate the company's underlying earnings power. Based on these factors, we think CBAK Energy Technology's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or probably even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing CBAK Energy Technology at this point in time. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for CBAK Energy Technology you should be aware of.
考慮到中比能源的應計比率和其飛凡項目,我們認爲其法定盈利可能不會誇大公司的潛在盈利能力。基於這些因素,我們認爲中比能源的潛在盈利能力和法定利潤所顯示的一樣好,甚至可能更好!因此,儘管盈利質量很重要,但同樣要考慮中比能源當前面臨的風險。舉個例子:我們發現中比能源有2個需要注意的警告信號。
After our examination into the nature of CBAK Energy Technology's profit, we've come away optimistic for the company. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
在我們對中比能源利潤性質的考察後,我們對這家公司持樂觀態度。但還有很多其他方式來形成你對公司的看法。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的良好跡象。所以你可能想查看這份免費收集的高股本回報率公司的名單,或者這份擁有高內部持股的股票列表。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。