GATX's (NYSE:GATX) 17% CAGR Outpaced the Company's Earnings Growth Over the Same Five-year Period
GATX's (NYSE:GATX) 17% CAGR Outpaced the Company's Earnings Growth Over the Same Five-year Period
The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But on the bright side, you can make far more than 100% on a really good stock. For example, the GATX Corporation (NYSE:GATX) share price has soared 100% in the last half decade. Most would be very happy with that. And in the last month, the share price has gained 17%.
在買入一家公司的股票後(假設沒有槓桿),最糟糕的結果就是你投入的所有資金都虧損。但好消息是,在一支表現非常好的股票上,你可以賺取超過100%的利潤。例如,GATX公司(紐交所:GATX)的股價在過去五年中飆升了100%。大多數人會爲此感到很高興。而在上個月,股價上漲了17%。
The past week has proven to be lucrative for GATX investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's five-year performance.
過去一週已經證明對GATX的投資者來說是賺錢的,讓我們看看基本面是否推動了公司的五年表現。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
雖然一些人仍然相信有效市場假說,但已經證明市場是過度反應的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。一個不完美但簡單的方法來考慮公司市場看法的變化是比較每股收益(EPS)的變化和股價的波動。
During five years of share price growth, GATX achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 7.8% per year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 15% per year, over the same period. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth.
在五年的股價增長期間,GATX實現了每年7.8%的每股收益(EPS)複合增長。這種EPS增長速度比同期股價增長的15%要慢,這表明市場參與者現在更看好這家公司。考慮到過去五年盈利增長的記錄,這並不奇怪。
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下圖顯示了EPS隨時間的變化情況(如果您單擊該圖像,則可以查看更多詳細信息)。
We know that GATX has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.
我們知道GATX在過去三年裏改善了其底線,但未來會怎樣呢?您可以在此免費交互式圖表中看到其資產負債表是如何隨着時間而變得更加強大(或更加薄弱)的。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for GATX the TSR over the last 5 years was 123%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
考慮股票的總股東回報以及股價回報非常重要。TSR包括基於假設股利再投資的前提下,任何分拆或折價資本籌集的價值,以及任何股息。可以說TSR爲那些支付股息的股票提供了更全面的圖片。我們注意到,過去5年中GATX的TSR爲123%,比上面提到的股價回報要好。毫不奇怪,股息支付很大程度上解釋了兩者之間的差異!
A Different Perspective
另一種看法
It's nice to see that GATX shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 52% over the last year. That's including the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 17% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand GATX better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for GATX you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.
看到GATX股東過去一年內獲得了52%的總股東回報真是令人高興。這已經包括了股息。這比過去半個世紀內的17%的年化回報要好,這意味着公司最近的表現更加出色。在最好的情況下,這可能暗示着一些真正積極的業務勢頭,這也許是深入了解公司的好時機。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有趣。但要更好地了解GATX,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如:我們已經發現了GATX3個警示信號,您應該注意其中1個是重要的。
For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
對於那些喜歡尋找獲勝投資的人來說,最近有內部購買的低估公司免費列表可能是一個很好的選擇。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。