CONMED (NYSE:CNMD) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
CONMED (NYSE:CNMD) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that CONMED Corporation (NYSE:CNMD) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
霍華德·馬克斯說得很好,他表示,與其擔心股價波動,'我擔心的是永久性損失的可能性...我認識的每個實際投資者都會擔心這個。' 當我們考慮一家公司有多大風險時,我們總是喜歡看看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過多可能導致破產。 我們可以看到conmed公司(紐交所:CNMD)的業務確實有使用債務。 但這些債務會讓股東擔憂嗎?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務會帶來風險?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
當企業無法通過自由現金流或者通過優惠的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些債務時,債務和其他負債對於企業就會形成風險。最終,如果公司無法履行其法定的償還債務的義務,股東可能什至一無所有。不過,更頻繁的(但仍然代價高昂)情況是,公司必須以非常低的價格發行股票,永久性地稀釋股東的股份,以維持其資產負債表的平衡。話雖如此,大多數情況下,公司會合理地處理債務,並依照企業自身的優勢來運用借款。考慮企業使用多少債務時需要做的第一件事是查看其現金和債務的總和。
What Is CONMED's Debt?
CONMED的債務情況是什麼?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that CONMED had US$938.8m of debt in September 2024, down from US$1.01b, one year before. However, it also had US$38.5m in cash, and so its net debt is US$900.3m.
您可以點擊下方的圖表查看歷史數據,但數據顯示,CONMED在2024年9月的債務爲93880萬美元,低於前一年的10.1億美元。然而,它也有3850萬美元現金,因此淨債務爲90030萬美元。
How Healthy Is CONMED's Balance Sheet?
CONMED的資產負債表狀況如何?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that CONMED had liabilities of US$282.3m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$1.10b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$38.5m in cash and US$231.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$1.11b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到CONMED在12個月內到期的負債爲28230萬美元,在12個月後到期的負債爲11億美元。相對應的,它有3850萬美元的現金和23120萬美元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款組合多出11.1億美元。
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since CONMED has a market capitalization of US$2.31b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
儘管這可能看起來很多,但因爲CONMED的市值爲23.1億美元,所以如果需要的話,它可以通過籌集資本來加強其資產負債表。但很明顯,我們肯定需要仔細審查它是否能夠在沒有稀釋的情況下管理其債務。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
爲了衡量公司債務相對於其收入的規模,我們計算其淨債務除以利息、稅收、折舊和攤銷前利潤(EBITDA),並計算其利息前稅利潤(EBIT)除以利息支出(其利息覆蓋率)。這樣,我們考慮了債務的絕對金額,以及支付的利率。
CONMED's debt is 4.1 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 3.9 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. The good news is that CONMED grew its EBIT a smooth 47% over the last twelve months. Like the milk of human kindness that sort of growth increases resilience, making the company more capable of managing debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine CONMED's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
CONMED的債務是其EBITDA的4.1倍,其EBIT支付其利息支出的3.9倍。這表明雖然債務水平相當大,我們不敢說它們是有問題的。好消息是CONMED在過去12個月內將其EBIT增長了平穩的47%。像人類慷慨之心的牛奶一樣,這種增長可以增加韌性,使公司更有能力管理債務。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中最多了解債務。但未來的收入,比任何其他東西,將決定CONMED未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您想知道專業人士的看法,您可能會發現分析師盈利預測的這份免費報告很有趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, CONMED produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 73% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
但我們最後的考慮也很重要,因爲一家公司不能用紙面利潤償還債務;它需要真金白銀的現金。所以我們確實需要看看EBIT是否導致相應的自由現金流。在過去三年中,CONMED產生了強勁的自由現金流,相當於其EBIT的73%,符合我們的預期。這筆真金白銀的現金意味着在需要時可以減少債務。
Our View
我們的觀點
The good news is that CONMED's demonstrated ability to grow its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But we must concede we find its net debt to EBITDA has the opposite effect. We would also note that Medical Equipment industry companies like CONMED commonly do use debt without problems. All these things considered, it appears that CONMED can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for CONMED (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.
值得慶幸的是,CONMED展示出的盈利能力讓我們像小孩子看到一隻毛絨絨的小狗一樣開心。但我們必須承認,它的淨債務與EBITDA比率產生了相反的效果。我們還要注意,像CONMED這樣的醫療設備行業公司通常使用債務而沒有問題。考慮到所有這些因素,看來CONMED可以輕鬆地處理目前的債務水平。當然,雖然這種槓桿可以提高股權回報,但也帶來更多風險,所以值得關注。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是要重點關注的領域。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中 - 遠非如此。例如,我們已經發現了2個CONMED的警示信號(其中一個讓我們有點不舒服),需要注意。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。
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