On November 19, 2024, Jefferies released a research report, maintaining a "BUY" rating and increasing the price target from $88.40 to $109.20. In the research report, Jefferies pointed out:
1)Total revenue grew 29.6% YoY to HK$3,436.1m, 3.3% and 15.7% above consensus and Jefferies' estimate, respectively. Non-GAAP net profit was 1.2% below consensus mainly due to unrealized FX losses from modest appreciation of RMB in 3Q.
2) In 3Q24, Futu added about 154K new paying clients (155K in 2Q24), with total paying clients reaching about 2.2 million. Total client assets increased by 48.1% YoY to HK$693.4bn. Client acquisition accelerated in Hong Kong and Singapore, which collectively contributed to over 1/3 of new paying clients in 3Q24. Malaysia remained the top contributor of new paying clients among its seven markets for three consecutive quarters.
3) In celebration of the fifth anniversary of its Nasdaq listing, Futu announced that its board of directors approved a special cash dividend of US$2 per ADS. The aggregate amount of the special cash dividend to be paid will be approximately US$280m, which will be funded by surplus cash on Futu’s balance sheet.
Jefferies maintains Buy and raises Price Target to US$109.2, based on 2025E EPS of HK$45.8 and 1.0x PEG, factoring in the latest business updates.
Key risks include:
(1) macro-headwinds impacting securities market trading volume in the US, HK and SG;
(2) loss of market share due to competition;
(3) lower-than-expected commission fee rate and interest rate.
2024年11月19日,傑富瑞发佈研究報告,維持"買入"評級,並將目標價從88.40美元上調至109.20美元。在研究報告中,傑富瑞指出:
1)總收入同比增長29.6%至34.36億港元,比市場一致預期和傑富瑞預估分別高出3.3%和15.7%。非公認會計准則淨利潤比市場一致預期低1.2%,主要原因是第三季度人民幣小幅升值造成未實現匯兌損益。
2)在2024年第三季度,富途新增約15.4萬名付費客戶(2024年第二季度爲15.5萬),總付費客戶達到約220萬。客戶總資產同比增長48.1%至6,934億港元。香港和新加坡的客戶獲取加速,這兩個地區在2024年第三季度共同貢獻了超過1/3的新付費客戶。馬來西亞連續三個季度是富途七個市場中新付費客戶的最大貢獻市場。
3)爲慶祝在納斯達克上市五週年,富途宣佈其董事會批准了每股美國存託憑證2美元的特別現金股息。將支付的特別現金股息總額約爲2.8億美元,將由富途資產負債表上的盈餘現金進行支付。
傑富瑞維持買入評級,並將目標價上調至109.2美元,基於2025年預期每股收益45.8港元和1.0倍PEG,考慮了最新的業務更新。
主要風險包括:
(1) 宏觀經濟逆風影響美國、香港和新加坡證券市場交易量;
(2) 由於競爭導致市場份額損失;
(3) 低於預期的佣金費率和利率。