Statutory Profit Doesn't Reflect How Good Yelp's (NYSE:YELP) Earnings Are
Statutory Profit Doesn't Reflect How Good Yelp's (NYSE:YELP) Earnings Are
Even though Yelp Inc.'s (NYSE:YELP) recent earnings release was robust, the market didn't seem to notice. We think that investors have missed some encouraging factors underlying the profit figures.
儘管Yelp Inc.(NYSE:YELP)最近的收益發布表現強勁,但市場似乎沒有注意到。我們認爲投資者可能忽略了業績背後一些鼓舞人心的因素。
A Closer Look At Yelp's Earnings
細看Yelp的盈利情況
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
在高金融領域,用來衡量一家公司如何將報告的利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的主要比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。應計比率從給定期間的自由現金流中減去利潤,並將結果除以該公司在該期間內的平均營運資產。該比率顯示了一家公司的利潤超過其自由現金流的程度。
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
這意味着負的計提比率是一件好事,因爲它表明公司帶來的自由現金流比其利潤所暗示的要多。雖然擁有正的計提比率毫無問題,表明某種程度的非現金利潤,但高的計提比率則是一個壞信號,因爲這表明紙面利潤與現金流不匹配。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,高的計提比率對近期利潤總體上是一個壞兆頭。
For the year to September 2024, Yelp had an accrual ratio of -0.45. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of US$262m, well over the US$118.0m it reported in profit. Yelp shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
截至2024年9月底的一年中,Yelp的應計比率爲-0.45。因此,其法定盈利明顯低於自由現金流。事實上,在過去十二個月中,其報告的自由現金流爲26200萬美元,遠高於其報告的盈利11800萬美元。Yelp股東們無疑對自由現金流在過去十二個月內的改善感到高興。然而,還有更多需要考慮的。我們可以看到一些特殊項目影響了其法定利潤,因此也影響了應計比率。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
這可能會讓您想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看基於其估計的未來盈利能力的互動圖表。
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
除了稀釋之外,還應該注意的是,萬集科技在過去12個月中因不尋常項目獲得了價值人民幣3.5萬元的利潤。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當這些不尋常項目對利潤做出重大貢獻時,我們會更加謹慎。我們對全球大部分上市公司的數據進行了分析,發現不尋常項目往往是一次性的。這正如我們所期望的那樣,因爲這些提升被描述爲"不尋常"。相對於其利潤而言,萬集科技在2021年12月前的不尋常項目貢獻大。因此,我們可以推斷出,這些不尋常項目正在使其財務利潤顯著增強。
Yelp's profit was reduced by unusual items worth US$23m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. This is what you'd expect to see where a company has a non-cash charge reducing paper profits. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Yelp to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.
上一年度Yelp的利潤減少了價值2300萬美元的飛凡項目,這有助於其產生高現金轉化率,正如其飛凡項目所反映的那樣。 當公司存在非現金費用減少紙面利潤時,您可能會看到這種情況。 看到飛凡項目導致公司利潤減少從來不是好事,但好消息是,情況可能會在不久的將來有所好轉。 在我們對全球絕大多數上市公司進行分析時,我們發現重大的飛凡項目往往不會重複出現。 而且,畢竟,這確實是會計術語所暗示的。 假設這些異常費用不會再次出現,因此我們預計Yelp明年的利潤將更高,其他條件保持不變。
Our Take On Yelp's Profit Performance
我們對Yelp的利潤表現的看法
In conclusion, both Yelp's accrual ratio and its unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings are probably reasonably conservative. After considering all this, we reckon Yelp's statutory profit probably understates its earnings potential! Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for Yelp and you'll want to know about this.
總而言之,Yelp的應計比率和其飛凡項目均表明其法定收益可能相當保守。 綜合考慮所有這些,我們認爲Yelp的法定利潤可能低估了其盈利潛力! 請記住,在分析股票時,值得注意涉及的風險。 您可能會感興趣知道,我們發現了1個Yelp的警示信號,您會想了解這些。
After our examination into the nature of Yelp's profit, we've come away optimistic for the company. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
經過我們對Yelp利潤性質的調查,我們對該公司表示樂觀。 但要了解一個公司的情況,還有很多其他方法。 例如,許多人認爲高淨資產回報率是有利的商業經濟指標,而其他人則喜歡「跟隨資金」 並尋找內部人員正在購買的股票。 儘管這可能需要一些您的研究工作,您可能會發現這些營業額高的公司收集或具有重要內部持股的股票清單很有用。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。
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