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Best Stock to Buy Right Now: Canadian Natural Resources Vs Cenovus?

Best Stock to Buy Right Now: Canadian Natural Resources Vs Cenovus?

現在最值得買入的股票:加拿大自然資源與Cenovus?
The Motley Fool ·  11/20 10:15

With respective market caps of $99.7 billion and $40.9 billion, Canadian Natural Resources (TSX:CNQ) and Cenvous Energy (TSX:CVE) are two of Canada's largest energy producers. Both have excellent oil sand and conventional assets, but each has drastically different results as of late.

加拿大自然資源(tsx:cnq)和cenovus能源(tsx:cve)的市值分別爲997億和409億,是加拿大最大的兩個能源生產商。兩者在油砂和常規資產方面都表現出色,但最近的結果大相徑庭。

This conundrum may lead investors to wonder what stock is a better buy today. Here are some thoughts.

這個難題可能會讓投資者想知道今天哪隻股票更適合買入。以下是一些想法。

Canadian Natural Resources: A Canadian energy legend

加拿大自然資源:加拿大能源傳奇

Canadian Natural Resources has focused largely on what it is good at: producing oil and natural gas cheaply. This strategy has been very successful. Its stock is up 153% in the past five years and 133% over the past 10 years. Add in dividends and its total respective returns look like 236% and 265%.

加拿大自然資源主要專注於它擅長的領域:以低成本生產石油和天然氣。這一策略非常成功。過去五年,其股票上漲了153%,過去十年上漲了133%。加上分紅派息,總回報分別爲236%和265%。

With 1.4 million barrels of equivalent (BOE) per day, it is Canada's largest energy producer. Canadian Natural has best-in-class production assets that it operates with factory efficiency.

以140萬桶當量(BOE)每天的產量,它是加拿大最大的能源生產商。加拿大自然資源擁有業界頂尖的生產資產,並以工廠效率運營。

Canadian Natural has smartly acquired and built out a massive energy inventory. The large independent crude oil and natural gas producer has 33 years of proven energy reserves. It has the second largest energy reserve amongst all energy producers in North America.

加拿大自然資源聰明地收購併擴展了其龐大的能源庫存。作爲大型獨立的wti原油和天然氣生產商,它擁有33年的已探明能源儲備。它在北美所有能源生產商中擁有第二大的能源儲備。

While the company had promised 100% of its free cash flow to shareholders, it recently made a big oil sands acquisition. That will slow near-term shareholder cash returns, but it will provide attractive opportunities over the longer term.

儘管該公司承諾將100%的自由現金流分配給股東,但它最近進行了大規模的油砂收購。這將減緩近期的股東現金回報,但在長期內將提供有吸引力的機會。

Canadian Natural Resources yields 4.8% today. CNQ has consecutively increased its dividend for 25 years. It trades with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.5 and a price-to-free cash (P/FCF) flow of 13.8. It is not the cheapest energy stock, but it's a pretty good bargain for the quality of the assets you are owning.

加拿大自然資源目前的收益率爲4.8%。cnq已連續25年增加其分紅派息。它的市盈率(P/E)爲13.5,自由現金流市盈率(P/FCF)爲13.8。雖然它不是最便宜的能源股票,但就其資產質量而言,它還是一個相當不錯的交易。

Cenovus: Cheap but maybe for a reason

cenovus: 便宜但可能有原因

Cenovus Energy is more diversified than Canadian Natural. It is an integrated operator, which means it has both upstream (production) and downstream (refining) operations.

cenovus能源的多元化程度超過了加拿大自然資源。它是一家綜合運營商,這意味着它同時擁有上游(生產)和下游(煉油)業務。

Like Canadian Natural Resources, Cenovus has some really high-quality production assets that span across oil sands, conventional, and offshore operations. It produces 771,300 BOE per day. Like Canadian Natural, it has over 30 years of energy reserves.

與加拿大自然資源一樣,cenovus擁有一些非常高質量的生產資產,涵蓋油砂、常規和離岸業務。它每天生產771,300桶油當量。與加拿大自然資源一樣,它擁有超過30年的能源儲備。

The thorn in Cenovus side has been its downstream portfolio. It has six refineries across North America. However, they have had no shortage of problems with everything from fires to breakdowns to weak utilization. It acquired these assets just before the pandemic, but it is still working to rightsize and optimize that business.

cenovus的痛點在於其下游投資組合。它在北美擁有六座煉油廠。然而,這些煉油廠面臨着從火災到故障再到利用率低下的各種問題。在疫情之前,它收購了這些資產,但仍在努力調整和優化該業務。

Unfortunately, that weakness has impacted results. Cenovus has delivered a 100% total return over the past five years and no total return over the past 10 years. Its stock is only up 1.5% year to date.

不幸的是,這一弱點影響了業績。過去五年,cenovus的總回報達到100%,而過去十年的總回報爲零。今年以來,它的股票只上漲了1.5%。

Now, there is no doubt the company is significantly better than it was 10 years ago. Its balance sheet is in excellent condition and management is returning 100% of its excess cash right back to shareholders. However, it has yet to prove it can make good money from refining energy.

現在,毫無疑問,該公司的狀況遠比10年前好。其資產負債表狀況良好,管理層將100%的多餘現金返還給股東。然而,它還未能證明能夠從能源煉油中賺取可觀利潤。

Cenovus stock has a 3.3% dividend yield. It is cheaper than Canadian Natural Resources with a P/E ratio of 11 and a P/FCF ratio of 8.5.

cenovus股票的分紅收益率爲3.3%。其市盈率爲11,市現率爲8.5,比加拿大自然資源便宜。

The Foolish takeaway

愚蠢的帶走

Canadian Natural Resources is by far the higher quality company of the two. If you want consistent and steady long-term returns, it is the best bet. However, that comes at a premium valuation (albeit it has a higher dividend yield).

加拿大自然資源顯然是兩者中質量更高的公司。如果你想要穩定且持續的長期回報,它是最佳選擇。然而,這需要溢價估值(雖然它的分紅派息收益率更高)。

Cenovus is cheap and aggressively buying back stock. However, it needs to get its downstream business fixed (or sold). Until that happens, it might continue to trade at a considerable discount to its premium peers like Canadian Natural.

cenovus能源便宜,並且在積極回購股票。然而,它需要修復其下游-腦機業務(或售出該業務)。在那之前,它可能會繼續以顯著折扣於其同類優質公司如加拿大自然資源進行交易。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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