Here's Why Quaker Chemical (NYSE:KWR) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Here's Why Quaker Chemical (NYSE:KWR) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Quaker Chemical Corporation (NYSE:KWR) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
有人說波動性而非債務是投資者思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾說過,『波動性遠非風險的同義詞。』當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡查看其債務的使用情況,因爲債務負擔過重可能導致毀滅。我們可以看到,Quaker Chemical Corporation (紐交所:KWR)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但這對股東來說是個問題嗎?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以用新的資本或自由現金流償還債務。如果企業無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能拿不到任何東西。然而,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司不得不以極低的價格發行股票,永久地稀釋股東,僅僅爲了支撐其資產負債表。當然,債務的好處在於,它往往代表着便宜的資本,特別是當債務取代具有高回報能力的公司股票時。當我們考慮一家公司的債務使用情況時,我們首先要看現金和債務。
What Is Quaker Chemical's Debt?
Quaker Chemical的債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Quaker Chemical had debt of US$739.8m at the end of September 2024, a reduction from US$824.2m over a year. However, it does have US$212.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$527.7m.
下圖(點擊可查看更詳細信息)顯示,Quaker Chemical在2024年9月底的債務爲73980萬美元,較去年減少了82420萬美元。然而,它有21210萬美元的現金抵消這部分債務,導致淨債務約爲52770萬美元。
How Healthy Is Quaker Chemical's Balance Sheet?
凱克化學的資產負債表健康嗎?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Quaker Chemical had liabilities of US$371.3m due within a year, and liabilities of US$918.1m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$212.1m as well as receivables valued at US$422.7m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$654.6m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,凱克化學的負債爲37130萬美元,債務將在一年內到期,而91810萬美元將在之後到期。爲了抵消這些債務,它擁有21210萬美元的現金以及價值42270萬美元的應收賬款,預計將在12個月內收到。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出65460萬美元。
Quaker Chemical has a market capitalization of US$2.98b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
凱克化學的市值爲29.8億美元,因此如果需要,它很可能能夠籌集現金來改善其資產負債表。但我們肯定希望關注其債務帶來過多風險的跡象。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
通過查看公司的淨債務與利息、稅、折舊、攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)之比以及它的利息費用(利息覆蓋率)可以衡量一個公司的債務負擔與收益能力。因此,我們考慮將債務與有無計算折舊和攤銷費用的收益相對比。
Quaker Chemical has net debt worth 1.8 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 4.9 times the interest expense. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. Notably Quaker Chemical's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year. We would prefer to see some earnings growth, because that always helps diminish debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Quaker Chemical's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
凱克化學的淨債務相當於EBITDA的1.8倍,這並不算太高,但其利息覆蓋率看起來有些低,EBIT僅爲利息支出的4.9倍。雖然這些數字並沒有讓我們感到警覺,但值得注意的是,該公司的債務成本正在產生實際影響。值得注意的是,凱克化學的EBIT在過去一年中幾乎持平。我們更希望看到一些盈利增長,因爲這總是有助於減少債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是起點。但未來的盈利,超過其他任何因素,將決定凱克化學維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的看法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師盈利預測的免費報告很有趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Quaker Chemical recorded free cash flow worth 71% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
但我們最後的考慮也是重要的,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤償還債務;它需要真實的現金。因此,我們明顯需要看看EBIT是否帶來了相應的自由現金流。在最近三年中,凱克化學記錄的自由現金流佔EBIT的71%,這在正常範圍內,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅。這筆真實的現金意味着它可以在需要時減少債務。
Our View
我們的觀點
When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for Quaker Chemical was the fact that it seems able to convert EBIT to free cash flow confidently. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. For example, its EBIT growth rate makes us a little nervous about its debt. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Quaker Chemical is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Quaker Chemical, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.
在談到資產負債表時,雀巢化學的一個突出積極之處是它似乎能夠自信地將EBIT轉化爲自由現金流。然而,我們的其他觀察並沒有那麼令人鼓舞。例如,它的EBIT增長率讓我們對其債務感到有些緊張。當我們考慮上述所有因素時,我們認爲雀巢化學對其債務管理得相當不錯。但需要提醒的是:我們認爲債務水平足夠高,需要持續監測。隨着時間的推移,股價往往會跟隨每股收益,因此如果您對雀巢化學感興趣,您可能想點擊這裏查看其每股收益歷史的互動圖表。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。