With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.4x Carter's, Inc. (NYSE:CRI) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 19x and even P/E's higher than 35x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times have been advantageous for Carter's as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think Carter's' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
How Is Carter's' Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Carter's' to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 15%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 20% drop in EPS in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 20% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 15%.
With this information, we are not surprised that Carter's is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
The Final Word
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Carter's maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Carter's (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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