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Where Will TD Stock Be in 1 Year?

Where Will TD Stock Be in 1 Year?

TD股票在一年後會在哪裏?
The Motley Fool ·  11/16 04:30

It's been a pretty abysmal year for TD Bank (TSX:TD) stock, which was clobbered as more light was shined on the penalties and restrictions from prior money-laundering issues. And though shares of the Canadian bank have trailed the pack, I wouldn't yet count it out as we go into 2025.

對TD銀行(tsx:td)股票來說,今年非常糟糕,受到之前洗錢問題的處罰和限制的影響。儘管這家加拿大銀行的股票表現落後於其他同行,但在進入2025年時,我並不認爲應該把它完全排除在外。

Indeed, there's just so much negativity and pessimism surrounding the bank as its growth plan in the U.S. market gets hindered as a result of the money-laundering fiasco, a tough event that investors should stop fretting over already.

確實,圍繞這家銀行有太多的負面情緒和悲觀情緒,因爲其在美國市場的增長計劃受到洗錢事件的阻礙,投資者應該停止對此感到憂慮。

Room to grow in the Canadian banking scene

在加拿大銀行業還有成長空間

Though TD Bank can still grow in Canada, investors don't seem to be willing to stick around, given there may be less room to run domestically. Either way, TD Bank remains one of the best-capitalized banks on the planet, making its dividend not only bountiful but profoundly safe and likely subject to a steady amount (think single-digit) growth over the next three years and beyond as the bank pivots with its longer-term growth plan.

儘管TD銀行在加拿大仍然可以發展,但投資者似乎不願意留下來,因爲國內的增長空間可能更小。無論如何,TD銀行仍然是全球資本充足的銀行之一,這使得其股息不僅豐厚,而且極爲安全,並且在未來三年及以後的時間裏,可能會有穩定的(想想個位數)增長,因爲銀行正在通過其長期增長計劃進行調整。

Of course, TD Bank needs to pivot quickly if it's to catch up to some of its better-performing banking peers in the so-called Big Six. I think it can.

當然,如果TD銀行要趕上所謂的大六中一些表現更好的銀行,就需要迅速調整。我認爲它可以做到。

Can TD be like some rivals that are now making higher highs? Perhaps. However, it could take some time for TD to heat up on a relative basis. In any case, I believe TD stock is a deep-value option right here for investors seeking a huge passive-income payment (the yield is just over the 5% mark) and a narrative that's now incredibly underrated.

TD能否像一些現在正在創出新高的競爭對手那樣?也許可以。然而,TD在相對基礎上升溫可能需要一些時間。無論如何,我相信TD股票在這裏對尋求巨額被動收入支付的投資者來說是一個深度價值的選擇(股息剛超過5%),而這個敘述現在非常被低估。

Sure, the U.S. growth may be put on pause, but don't expect TD shares to stay down as a handful of pretty intriguing catalysts look to make their mark on the stock at some point over the next year.

當然,美國的增長可能會被暫時擱置,但不要指望TD股價會持續下跌,因爲在未來一年內有幾項相當有趣的催化劑可能會對這支股票產生影響。

Positive change ahead for TD stock?

TD股票前景積極的變化?

First, TD Bank is getting a new chief executive officer shortly. Outgoing top boss Bharat Masrani is out, and Raymond Chun will be in. I believe this big change at the very top of the bank could mark the beginning of a turning point of sorts. As I noted before, Chun is a seasoned veteran who can make TD an impressive force in banking again.

首先,TD 銀行即將迎來一位新的首席執行官。離任的首席執行官 Bharat Masrani 退出,Raymond Chun 將接任。我相信,銀行高層的這一重大變化可能標誌着某種轉折點的開始。正如我之前提到的,Chun 是一位經驗豐富的老將,他能使 TD 銀行再次成爲一個令人印象深刻的力量。

Simply put, do not bet against TD in the Chun era.

簡單來說,不要在 Chun 時代與 TD 銀行對賭。

Though I have no idea how long it will take for Chun to drive enough change to cause shares of TD to come roaring back, I think that there's a lot of potential upside to be had if he can garner enthusiasm for a bank that I believe has what it takes to return to its former glory.

雖然我不知道 Chun 需要多長時間才能推動足夠的變化讓 TD 的 股票大幅回升,但我認爲如果他能夠激發對這家我相信有潛力回歸往日輝煌的銀行的熱情,這裏有很大的潛在上升空間。

Sure, the money-laundering woes may have weighed heavily, but if the bank continues doing its best to make things right and move along, I think the issue will be forgotten, especially if the bank can garner a few strong quarters together.

當然,洗錢問題可能造成了很大的壓力,但如果銀行繼續努力糾正問題並不斷前進,我認爲該問題將會被遺忘,特別是如果銀行能夠積累幾個強勁的季度。

The bottom line

底線

At the end of the day, the quarterly results will dictate the long-term trajectory of shares. And with lower expectations in place (at least in my opinion), I view TD as having ample upside should a better-than-feared quarter be posted in the Chun era.

最終,季度業績將決定股票的長期走勢。而在預期降低的情況下(至少我認爲如此),我認爲在春季時代如果發佈出好於預期的季度業績,TD有很大的上升空間。

Additionally, TD Bank may have more capital to invest heavily in Canada. Whether that entails growing the domestic mortgage business in an effort to take share or doubling down on innovative technologies (think artificial intelligence), I see some growth drivers that could help TD power ahead as Canada's economy looks to bounce back.

此外,TD 銀行可能有更多資本在加拿大進行大量投資。無論這是否意味着在努力爭奪市場份額的同時擴大國內抵押貸款 業務,還是在創新技術(想想人工智能)上加大投入,我看到一些可以幫助 TD 在加拿大經濟期望反彈的情況下強勁發展的驅動力。

So, where will TD Bank stock be in a year from now? Probably much higher (I'd say $89 per share or so), as new management injects positive change into the firm after a bleak year.

那麼,TD 銀行的股票在一年後會在哪裏?可能會高得多(我會說每股約89美元),因爲新的管理層將在經歷糟糕的一年後爲公司注入積極的變化。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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