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Is Trump Media Stock Heading Back to All-Time Highs?

Is Trump Media Stock Heading Back to All-Time Highs?

特朗普媒體股票是否正在回升至歷史最高點?
The Motley Fool ·  11/13 22:12

Trump Media & Technology Group (NASDAQ: DJT) stock could become a hot buy after Donald Trump's election win last week. As the former president heads back to the Oval Office next year, there could be a lot more excitement around Trump Media stock and anything related to the Trump brand.

特朗普媒體與科技集團(納斯達克:DJT)的股票在特朗普上週的選舉勝利後可能會成爲一個熱門買入。隨着前總統明年重返橢圓形辦公室,特朗普媒體的股票以及與特朗普品牌相關的任何事物可能會有更多的關注。

If there's also more traffic on Trump Media's social media platform Truth Social and its recently launched streaming service Truth+, investors could see improved results for the company. Is the stage set for this volatile stock to get back to the highs it reached earlier this year?

如果特朗普媒體的社交媒體平台Truth Social和其最近推出的流媒體平台Truth+的流量也有所增加,投資者可能會看到公司的業績改善。這個波動性股票是否準備回到今年早些時候達到的高點?

Trading volumes in Trump Media have been picking up

特朗普媒體的成交量正在上升。

Earlier this year, Trump Media stock was rising in value as hopes appeared to be growing that Trump might win the election, and it was falling when that excitement seemed to be waning. Now that he won, a wave of bullishness could be ignited, leading to a more prolonged rally. Interest does appear to be picking up, as the trading volume of Trump Media stock increased significantly in recent days.

今年早些時候,特朗普媒體的股票價值上升,因爲人們希望特朗普可能會贏得選舉,而當這種興奮似乎減弱時,股票又開始下跌。現在他贏了,可能會引發一波樂觀情緒,導致更長時間的上漲。興趣似乎正在提升,因爲近年來特朗普媒體股票的成交量顯著增加。

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DJT Volume data by YCharts.

DJT成交量數據由YCharts提供。

The big question is whether the social media stock will trade like a cryptocurrency and become a gauge of Trump's overall popularity (and perhaps approval as president), or if its valuation will ultimately depend on how strong and successful the underlying business is. If it's the former, the possibility exists that the stock will hit its high of $79.38, but if it's the latter, that may be a less likely scenario.

大問題是社交媒體股票是否會像數字貨幣一樣交易,併成爲特朗普整體受歡迎程度(也許還有作爲總統的支持度)的衡量標準,還是其估值最終將取決於基礎業務的強度和成功程度。如果是前者,股票可能會達到79.38美元的高點,但如果是後者,這種情況可能不太可能出現。

Trump Media is still a risky investment

特朗普媒體仍然是一個風險投資。

On Election Day, Trump Media posted its most recent quarterly results. The company, which owns Truth Social, reported net sales of just over $1 million for the period ending Sept. 30, which was a 6% decline year over year. That's not what you would expect for a growing business.

在選舉日,特朗普媒體發佈了最近的季度業績。該公司擁有真實社交平台,報告截至9月30日的期間淨銷售額略超過100萬美元,同比下降6%。這並不是一個成長型業務所應有的表現。

Its operating loss swelled to $23.7 million from just $3 million in the same period a year earlier. The company's general and administrative expenses jumped from $1.5 million in the prior-year period to $17.7 million this quarter, as Trump Media experienced an increase in legal, software, accounting, and finance fees.

其營業虧損從去年同期的僅300萬美元激增到2370萬美元。該公司的一般和行政開支從去年同期的150萬美元增加到本季度的1770萬美元,因特朗普媒體經歷了法律、軟件、會計和財務費用的增加。

The timing of the underwhelming results may have been convenient, as Trump Media's earnings weren't the biggest Trump-related news on the day. But the numbers are important to consider, nonetheless, as they underscore the risk that comes with investing in the business. If Trump Media's expenses are increasing significantly and it's not able to generate meaningful growth, it could be difficult to see the stock rise in value, based on its fundamentals, or be optimistic about its future growth prospects.

這些不盡如人意的業績發佈時機可能相當巧合,因爲特朗普媒體的收益並不是當日最大的與特朗普相關的資訊。但是,這些數字仍然重要,因爲它們突顯了投資該業務所帶來的風險。如果特朗普媒體的開支顯著增加而無法產生有意義的增長,那麼基於其基本面,股票升值的機會可能會變得困難,未來的增長前景也難以樂觀。

Should you buy Trump Media stock?

你應該買入特朗普媒體的股票嗎?

Trump Media may seem like a stock that should benefit from Trump's election win, but that's by no means a sure thing. In the days following the election, the stock dropped in value by a few dollars per share.

特朗普媒體可能看上去是一隻應當受益於特朗普當選的股票,但這絕不是必然的。在選舉後的幾天裏,股票每股的價值下跌了幾美元。

How it performs from here can be difficult to predict. It's been trading more like a cryptocurrency and speculative buy than a typical stock this year. It's difficult to justify the stock's market cap of $6.6 billion based on its financial performance and growth prospects.

未來的表現將難以預測。今年它的表現更像是數字貨幣和投機性買入,而不是典型的股票。難以根據其財務表現和增長前景證明該股票的市值66億。

Trump Media stock may get back to its highs, but if it does, it likely won't be because the business has been generating strong results — it'll be due to speculation. That's why I wouldn't suggest buying the stock, as it's a highly risky investment with an uncertain future.

特朗普媒體的股票可能會回到其高點,但如果真的回到高點,可能並不是因爲業務產生了強勁的業績——而是由於投機。因此,我不會建議買入該股票,因爲這是一項高風險投資,未來不確定。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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