It's not a stretch to say that Asana, Inc.'s (NYSE:ASAN) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.7x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Software industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 5.1x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
How Asana Has Been Performing
Asana could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will turn around. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Keen to find out how analysts think Asana's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Asana?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Asana would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 14%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 135% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 15% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 20% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's curious that Asana's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From Asana's P/S?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
When you consider that Asana's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Having said that, be aware Asana is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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