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Lifetime Brands, Inc. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Lifetime Brands, Inc. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Lifetime Brands, Inc.收益低於分析師預期:現在分析師們預測的是什麼
Simply Wall St ·  11/09 20:38

The analysts might have been a bit too bullish on Lifetime Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ:LCUT), given that the company fell short of expectations when it released its quarterly results last week. It wasn't a great result overall - while revenue fell marginally short of analyst estimates at US$184m, statutory earnings missed forecasts by an incredible 94%, coming in at just US$0.02 per share. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

分析師可能對生活時光品牌傢俱(納斯達克: LCUT)有點過於看好,因爲該公司上週公佈季度業績時未達預期。總體來說結果並不好- 儘管營業收入略低於分析師預期的18400萬美元,但法定收益卻驚人地低於預測值94%,僅爲每股0.02美元。對投資者來說,這是一個重要時刻,他們可以在報告中跟蹤公司的表現,了解專家們對明年的預測,以及業務預期是否有任何變化。我們已彙總最新的法定預測,以查看分析師是否根據這些結果修改了盈利模型。

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NasdaqGS:LCUT Earnings and Revenue Growth November 9th 2024
NasdaqGS: LCUt 2024年11月9日收益和營收增長

After the latest results, the three analysts covering Lifetime Brands are now predicting revenues of US$713.0m in 2025. If met, this would reflect a credible 6.3% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Lifetime Brands is also expected to turn profitable, with statutory earnings of US$0.60 per share. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$714.4m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.76 in 2025. So there's definitely been a decline in sentiment after the latest results, noting the large cut to new EPS forecasts.

最新的業績數據顯示,覆蓋生活時光品牌傢俱的三位分析師預測2025年的營收將達到71300萬美元。如果實現,這將反映出與過去12個月相比可信的營收增長率爲6.3%。預計生活時光品牌傢俱也將實現盈利,法定每股盈利爲0.60美元。然而,在最新業績公佈之前,分析師曾預期2025年的營收將達到71440萬美元,每股收益(EPS)爲0.76美元。因此,最新業績公佈後情緒顯然有所下降,尤其是新的每股收益預測大幅下調。

It might be a surprise to learn that the consensus price target was broadly unchanged at US$12.00, with the analysts clearly implying that the forecast decline in earnings is not expected to have much of an impact on valuation. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Lifetime Brands at US$14.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$9.00. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

或許令人驚訝的是,共識價目標基本保持在12.00美元,分析師們明顯暗示盈利預期下降不太可能對估值產生太大影響。查看分析師估值範圍也可能具有啓發性,以評估離群意見在平均值中有多大不同。目前,最看好的分析師將生活時光品牌傢俱估值爲14.00美元,而最看淡的則將估值定爲9.00美元。正如您可以看到的,分析師並不完全就股票的未來達成一致意見,但估值範圍仍然相當狹窄,這可能暗示結果並非完全不可預測。

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. One thing stands out from these estimates, which is that Lifetime Brands is forecast to grow faster in the future than it has in the past, with revenues expected to display 5.0% annualised growth until the end of 2025. If achieved, this would be a much better result than the 2.6% annual decline over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 5.8% per year. So while Lifetime Brands' revenues are expected to improve, it seems that it is expected to grow at about the same rate as the overall industry.

當然,審視這些預測的另一種方式是將其與整個行業放在背景下。這些預估中有一點值得注意,即生活時光品牌預計未來增長速度將超過過去,預計營收將以5.0%的年增長率顯示,直至2025年底。如果實現,這將比過去五年的2.6%年度下降要好得多。相比之下,我們的數據顯示,預計類似行業的其他公司(受到分析師關注)將每年預計營收增長5.8%。因此,儘管生活時光品牌的營收有望改善,但似乎預計其增長速度與整個行業大致相同。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Lifetime Brands. Happily, there were no real changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow in line with the overall industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

最大的擔憂在於分析師調低了每股收益預期,暗示着生活時光品牌可能會面臨業務逆風。令人高興的是,營收預測沒有發生實質性變化,業務仍預計會與整個行業一起增長。共識價格目標沒有實質性變化,表明業務的內在價值在最新預估中沒有經歷重大變化。

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple Lifetime Brands analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

在這種思路下,我們認爲業務的長期前景比明年的收益更重要。我們有來自多位生活時光品牌分析師的截至2026年的預測數據,您可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

Even so, be aware that Lifetime Brands is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

儘管如此,要注意到生活時光品牌在我們的投資分析中顯示出1個警示信號,您應該了解一下...

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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