Avnet's (NASDAQ:AVT) Three-year Earnings Growth Trails the Respectable Shareholder Returns
Avnet's (NASDAQ:AVT) Three-year Earnings Growth Trails the Respectable Shareholder Returns
One simple way to benefit from the stock market is to buy an index fund. But many of us dare to dream of bigger returns, and build a portfolio ourselves. Just take a look at Avnet, Inc. (NASDAQ:AVT), which is up 43%, over three years, soundly beating the market return of 17% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 29% in the last year, including dividends.
從股票市場中受益的一個簡單方法是購買指數基金。但是我們許多人夢想獲得更高的回報,並自己建立投資組合。只需看看安富利公司(納斯達克:AVT),三年來上漲了43%,遠遠超過了17%的市場回報(不包括分紅派息)。然而,最近的回報並不像那樣令人印象深刻,股票去年僅上漲了29%,包括分紅派息。
After a strong gain in the past week, it's worth seeing if longer term returns have been driven by improving fundamentals.
在過去的一週之內,獲得的強勁收益是否表明了長期回報受到基本面的推動值得關注。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
爲了概述本傑明·格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)的話:短期內,市場是一臺投票機,但長期來看,它是一臺衡重機。思考一家公司的市場感知如何轉變的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)變化與股價變動進行比較。
During three years of share price growth, Avnet achieved compound earnings per share growth of 7.2% per year. This EPS growth is lower than the 13% average annual increase in the share price. This suggests that, as the business progressed over the last few years, it gained the confidence of market participants. It is quite common to see investors become enamoured with a business, after a few years of solid progress.
在三年的股價增長期間,安富利公司實現了每股收益的複合年增長率爲7.2%。這種每股收益的增長低於股價平均每年增長13%的水平。這表明隨着業務在過去幾年的進展,市場參與者對其增長了信心。看到投資者在幾年穩步進展之後對一家企業感到着迷是非常常見的。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下圖顯示了EPS隨時間變化的情況(點擊圖像以顯示確切值)。
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
在購買或出售股票之前,我們始終建議對歷史增長趨勢進行仔細研究,可以在這裏找到相關信息。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Avnet, it has a TSR of 55% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在考慮投資回報時,重要的是考慮總股東回報(TSR)和股價回報之間的差異。而股價回報僅反映了股價的變化,TSR則包括了分紅的價值(假設它們被重新投資)以及任何折價的資本籌集或分拆所帶來的好處。可以說TSR爲支付股息的股票提供了更全面的圖片。在安富利的情況下,過去3年TSR爲55%,超過了之前提到的股價回報。毫無疑問,股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異!
A Different Perspective
另一種看法
Avnet shareholders are up 29% for the year (even including dividends). But that was short of the market average. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it's actually better than the average return of 10% over half a decade This suggests the company might be improving over time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Avnet better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Avnet (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
安富利股東今年的收益率增長了29%(包括分紅在內)。但這未達到市場平均水平。好的一面是,這仍然是一種收益,並且實際上超過了過去半個世紀的平均回報率10%。這表明公司可能在不斷改善。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有趣。但要更好地了解安富利,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,我們發現了2個警告信號(1個可能嚴重!)關於在這裏投資之前您應該注意的事項。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
如果您喜歡與管理層一起購買股票,那麼您可能會喜歡這個公司的免費列表。 (提示:其中許多公司不爲人注意且具有吸引力的估值。)
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。