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Generac Holdings Inc. Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Generac Holdings Inc. Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Generac控股公司剛剛超出盈利預期:分析師認爲接下來會發生什麼
Simply Wall St ·  11/08 18:43

Shareholders of Generac Holdings Inc. (NYSE:GNRC) will be pleased this week, given that the stock price is up 13% to US$187 following its latest quarterly results. Revenues were US$1.2b, approximately in line with expectations, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) performed substantially better. EPS of US$1.89 were also better than expected, beating analyst predictions by 14%. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

Generac控股公司(NYSE:GNRC)的股東將會在本週感到高興,因爲股價上漲了13%,至187美元,緊隨最新季度業績之後。營業收入爲12億美元,大致符合預期,儘管法定每股收益(EPS)表現出色。每股收益爲1.89美元,也好於預期,高出分析師預測的14%。對於投資者來說,這是一個重要時刻,他們可以通過報告跟蹤公司的表現,查看專家對明年的預測,看看業務預期有無變化。因此,我們收集了最新的盈利後統一預估,以了解明年可能會發生什麼。

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NYSE:GNRC Earnings and Revenue Growth November 8th 2024
NYSE:GNRC 2024年11月8日的盈利和營業收入增長

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Generac Holdings from 23 analysts is for revenues of US$4.67b in 2025. If met, it would imply a meaningful 13% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to leap 44% to US$7.10. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$4.66b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$6.90 in 2025. So the consensus seems to have become somewhat more optimistic on Generac Holdings' earnings potential following these results.

根據最新結果,來自23位分析師的Generac控股公司2025年營業收入的最新共識爲46.7億美元。如果達到,這將意味着其近12個月的營業收入將增長13%。預計每股收益將飆升44%,達到7.10美元。在此報告之前,分析師們曾對2025年的營業收入爲46.6億美元,並預計每股收益(EPS)爲6.90美元。因此,這些結果後,共識似乎對Generac控股公司的盈利潛力變得更爲樂觀。

The consensus price target rose 5.4% to US$175, suggesting that higher earnings estimates flow through to the stock's valuation as well. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on Generac Holdings, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$210 and the most bearish at US$94.00 per share. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.

共識目標價上調5.4%至175美元,表明更高的盈利估計也會反映在股票估值上。共識目標價僅是各個分析師目標的平均值,因此,查看基礎估值範圍有多廣泛可能會有所幫助。對於Generac控股公司存在一些不同的看法,最看好的分析師將其價值定爲210美元,而最看淡的爲每股94.00美元。注意分析師目標價之間的巨大差異?這對我們意味着,基礎業務可能存在相當廣泛的可能情景。

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Generac Holdings' revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 10% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 14% over the past five years. Compare this to the 129 other companies in this industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenue at 8.3% per year. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it looks like Generac Holdings is forecast to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.

我們可以將這些估計數據放在更大環境中來看待,比如預測與過往表現相比如何以及預測是否與行業內其他公司相比更加看好或看淡。很顯然,Generac控股公司的營業收入增長預期將大幅放緩,到2025年底,預計年均增長率爲10%。與過去五年的14%歷史增長率相比,對G529這個的預期要放緩。將覆蓋企業分析師增長率爲8.3%的129家其他公司與Generac控股公司進行比較。考慮到增長放緩的預測,Generac控股公司的增長率似乎與更廣泛的行業預計增長率相當。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Generac Holdings' earnings potential next year. Happily, there were no real changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow in line with the overall industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.

對我們來說最重要的一點是每股收益的共識升級,這表明明年圍繞generac控股的盈利潛力的情緒明顯改善。令人高興的是,營業收入預測沒有實質性變化,業務仍然預計與整個行業的增長保持一致。我們注意到價格目標的提升,表明分析師們相信企業的內在價值可能會隨時間改善。

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for Generac Holdings going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

話雖如此,公司盈利的長期軌跡比明年更爲重要。我們對generac控股的預測延伸到2026年,您可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

Plus, you should also learn about the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Generac Holdings .

另外,您還應該了解我們發現的generac控股的1個警示信號。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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