share_log

Equitable Holdings, Inc. Just Reported A Surprise Loss: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Equitable Holdings, Inc. Just Reported A Surprise Loss: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Equitable Holdings, Inc.剛剛報告出人意料的虧損:分析師認爲接下來會發生什麼
Simply Wall St ·  11/07 21:35

It's been a good week for Equitable Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:EQH) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest third-quarter results, and the shares gained 9.1% to US$50.40. Revenues fell badly short of expectations, with revenue of US$3.1b missing analyst predictions by 20%. Statutory earnings correspondingly nosedived, with Equitable Holdings reporting a loss of US$0.47 per share, where the analysts were expecting a profit. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

Equitable Holdings, Inc.(紐約證券交易所:EQH)股東度過了愉快的一週,因爲該公司剛發佈了最新的第三季度業績報告,股價上漲了9.1%,達到了50.40美元。營收大幅低於預期,營業收入爲31億美元,較分析師預期低出20%。法定收益同樣暴跌,Equitable Holdings報告每股虧損0.47美元,而分析師預計會盈利。盈利是投資者重要的時刻,因爲他們可以追蹤公司的表現,查看分析師對明年的預測,並了解對該公司的看法是否發生變化。因此,我們收集了最新的盈利後法定共識預估,以了解明年可能會發生什麼。

big
NYSE:EQH Earnings and Revenue Growth November 7th 2024
紐約證券交易所:EQH 2024年11月7日的盈利和營收增長

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Equitable Holdings' seven analysts is for revenues of US$16.7b in 2025. This would reflect a substantial 52% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Earnings are expected to improve, with Equitable Holdings forecast to report a statutory profit of US$6.41 per share. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$16.6b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$6.37 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

考慮到最新的結果,Equitable Holdings的七位分析師目前的共識是,2025年營收將達到167億美元。這將反映出過去12個月其營收大幅增長了52%。預計盈利將有所改善,Equitable Holdings預計將報告每股6.41美元的法定利潤。在此盈利報告之前,分析師們此前一直預測Equitable Holdings在2025年的營收爲166億美元,每股盈利爲6.37美元。共識分析師似乎沒有在這些結果中看到任何會改變他們對該業務看法的內容,因爲他們的估計沒有發生重大變化。

The analysts reconfirmed their price target of US$48.90, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Equitable Holdings at US$60.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$43.00. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.

分析師重新確認了他們對48.90美元的目標價,顯示該業務運營良好,符合預期。然而,糾纏在一個單一目標價上可能是不明智的,因爲共識目標實際上是分析師目標價的平均值。因此,一些投資者喜歡查看各種估計來了解對公司價值是否存在不同看法。目前,最看好的分析師認爲Equitable Holdings的股票價值爲60.00美元,而看淡的則爲43.00美元。股票存在着不同的看法,但在我們看來,這些估計範圍不足以意味着情況不可預測。

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. The analysts are definitely expecting Equitable Holdings' growth to accelerate, with the forecast 40% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 2.2% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 4.1% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Equitable Holdings to grow faster than the wider industry.

當然,審視這些預測的另一種方式是將它們與行業本身的情況相對比。分析師們明確預計Equitable Holdings的增長將加速,到2025年底預計增長40%,這與過去五年平均年增長2.2%的歷史增長形成有利對比。相比之下,我們的數據顯示,其他處於類似行業板塊(並受到分析師關注)的公司預計每年以4.1%的速度增長營業收入。顯而易見,儘管增長前景比最近的過去要明亮,分析師還是期望Equitable Holdings能比更廣泛的行業增長更快。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

最明顯的結論是,近期業務前景並沒有發生重大變化,因爲分析師們保持了盈利預測,與以前的預測一致。幸運的是,他們還重新確認了公司的營收數字,表明結果與預期相符。此外,我們的數據表明,營業收入預計將比整個行業增長得更快。一致的預期目標價格並沒有發生實質性的變化,這表明公司內在價值在最新的預測中沒有發生重大變化。

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple Equitable Holdings analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

緊接着這種思路,我們認爲企業的長期前景比明年的收益更有關。我們有Equitable Holdings多位分析師的2026年預估,您可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Equitable Holdings you should be aware of.

不過,您應該始終考慮風險。例如,我們發現Equitable Holdings存在1個警示信號,您應該注意。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
    搶先評論