Inari Medical, Inc. (NASDAQ:NARI) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 31% gain and recovering from prior weakness. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.
After such a large jump in price, Inari Medical may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.4x, since almost half of all companies in the Medical Equipment in the United States have P/S ratios under 3.4x and even P/S lower than 1.2x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
What Does Inari Medical's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Inari Medical certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
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Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Inari Medical?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Inari Medical would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 22% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 137% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 18% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.3% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's understandable that Inari Medical's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Inari Medical's P/S?
Inari Medical shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Inari Medical maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Medical Equipment industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Inari Medical with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Inari Medical, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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