With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 2.6x in the Diversified Financial industry in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Cannae Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:CNNE) P/S ratio, which comes in at about the same. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
How Cannae Holdings Has Been Performing
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Cannae Holdings' revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Cannae Holdings.
How Is Cannae Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Cannae Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 22%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 28% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 9.6% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 3.7%.
With this information, we find it concerning that Cannae Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.
The Bottom Line On Cannae Holdings' P/S
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
It appears that Cannae Holdings currently trades on a higher than expected P/S for a company whose revenues are forecast to decline. When we see a gloomy outlook like this, our immediate thoughts are that the share price is at risk of declining, negatively impacting P/S. If the poor revenue outlook tells us one thing, it's that these current price levels could be unsustainable.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Cannae Holdings that you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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