We Think CRA International (NASDAQ:CRAI) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
We Think CRA International (NASDAQ:CRAI) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, CRA International, Inc. (NASDAQ:CRAI) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
傳奇基金經理李錄(得到了查理·芒格的支持)曾經說過:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。」 因此,在考慮任何特定股票的風險時,需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可能會拖垮一家公司。重要的是,納斯達克市場的CRA國際業務公司(NASDAQ:CRAI)確實負債。 但更重要的問題是: 這些債務造成了多大的風險?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
債務爲企業提供幫助,直到企業無法用新的資本或自由現金流償還爲止。 在最壞的情況下,如果一家公司無法償還債權人,它可能會破產。 然而,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,一家公司必須以跳樓價發行股票,永久性地稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。 當然,債務可以成爲企業中的重要工具,特別是在資本密集的企業中。 當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先考慮現金和債務水平。
What Is CRA International's Debt?
CRA國際的債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 CRA International had debt of US$60.0m, up from US$32.0m in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$24.5m, its net debt is less, at about US$35.5m.
下面的圖像顯示,2024年9月,CRA國際的債務爲6000萬美元,比一年前的3200萬美元增加。 然而,由於其有2450萬美元的現金儲備,淨債務較少,約爲3550萬美元。
A Look At CRA International's Liabilities
查看cra國際的負債情況
The latest balance sheet data shows that CRA International had liabilities of US$268.3m due within a year, and liabilities of US$109.6m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$24.5m and US$243.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$110.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,cra國際有1年內到期的負債約26830萬美元,以及之後到期的10960萬美元的負債。 另一方面,它擁有約2450萬美元的現金和1年內到期的24330萬美元應收款項。 因此,其負債總額比現金和短期應收款項合計多11000萬美元。
Of course, CRA International has a market capitalization of US$1.27b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
當然,cra國際的市值爲12.7億美元,因此這些負債可能是可以管理的。 話雖如此,很明顯我們應繼續監控其資產負債表,以防情況惡化。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Service Corporation International的債務是其EBITDA的3.5倍,而其EBIT可覆蓋其利息開支的3.7倍。綜合考慮,雖然我們不希望看到債務水平上升,但我們認爲它可以應對當前的槓桿。好消息是,Service Corporation International在過去12個月中將其EBIT提高了2.9%,從而逐漸降低了其相對於收益的債務水平。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中獲得了有關債務的大部分內容。但是,相對於資產負債表,更重要的是未來收益,這將決定Service Corporation International維持健康資產負債表的能力。如果您關注未來,您可以查看此免費報告,其中有分析師的利潤預測。
CRA International's net debt is only 0.46 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 16.4 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. And we also note warmly that CRA International grew its EBIT by 19% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if CRA International can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
cra國際的淨債務僅爲其EBITDA的0.46倍。 它的EBIt覆蓋其利息費用高達16.4倍。 因此,你可以認爲它對債務的威脅不比大象對老鼠更大。我們也熱切地注意到,cra國際去年的EBIt增長了19%,這使得其債務負擔更容易處理。 在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的領域。 但最終業務的未來盈利能力將決定cra國際能否隨着時間加強資產負債表。 因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份免費報告,展示分析師的盈利預測。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, CRA International recorded free cash flow worth 58% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,而非會計利潤。 因此,我們始終檢查將多少EBIt轉化爲自由現金流。 在最近的三年中,cra國際記錄的自由現金流價值相當於其EBIt的58%,這在正常範圍內,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅收。 這筆冷硬現金意味着它可以在希望時減少債務。
Our View
我們的觀點
CRA International's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its net debt to EBITDA is also very heartening. Zooming out, CRA International seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of CRA International's earnings per share history for free.
cra國際的利息支出能力表明它可以像克里斯蒂亞諾·羅納爾多對付一個14歲以下的守門員一樣輕鬆地處理債務。這只是好消息的開始,因爲其淨債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)比率也是令人振奮的。從更宏觀的角度來看,我們認爲cra國際對待債務相當謹慎;我們對此表示認可。雖然債務確實帶來風險,但當明智使用時,也會帶來更高的股本回報率。在衆多其他指標之上,我們認爲跟蹤每股盈利的增長速度是很重要的,無論增長程度如何。如果您也達到了這一認識,那您很幸運,因爲今天您可以免費查看cra國際每股收益歷史的互動圖表。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。
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