Optimism Around LCI Industries (NYSE:LCII) Delivering New Earnings Growth May Be Shrinking as Stock Declines 4.0% This Past Week
Optimism Around LCI Industries (NYSE:LCII) Delivering New Earnings Growth May Be Shrinking as Stock Declines 4.0% This Past Week
As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term LCI Industries (NYSE:LCII) shareholders, since the share price is down 26% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 15%.
作爲投資者,努力確保您的整體投資組合能超過市場平均水平是值得的。 但有時候幾乎可以肯定,您會購買到表現不及市場平均水平的股票。 遺憾的是,長揸 lci industries(紐交所:lcii)的股東們面臨這種情況,因爲股價在過去三年下跌了26%,遠遠低於大約15%的市場回報。
If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for LCI Industries isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.
如果過去一週的情況能夠說明什麼,那麼對於 lci industries 的投資者情緒並不樂觀,因此讓我們看看基本面和股價之間是否存在不匹配。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
在他的《格雷厄姆和道德斯維爾的超級投資者》一文中,禾倫·巴菲特描述了股價並不總是合理反映企業價值的方法。檢驗市場情緒如何隨時間變化的一種方法是觀察公司股價和每股收益(EPS)之間的互動關係。
During the three years that the share price fell, LCI Industries' earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 23% each year. In comparison the 10% compound annual share price decline isn't as bad as the EPS drop-off. So the market may not be too worried about the EPS figure, at the moment -- or it may have previously priced some of the drop in.
在股價下跌的三年裏,lci industries 的每股收益 (EPS) 每年下降了23%。 相比之下,10% 的複合年股價下跌並不像 EPS 下滑那麼糟糕。 因此,市場可能目前並不太擔心 EPS 數字,或者可能之前已經在定價中反映了其中的部分下滑。
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下圖顯示了EPS隨時間的變化情況(如果您單擊該圖像,則可以查看更多詳細信息)。
We know that LCI Industries has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? If you're interested, you could check this free report showing consensus revenue forecasts.
我們知道LCI Industries最近改善了底線,但它將增長營業收入嗎? 如果您感興趣,可以查看這份顯示共識營業收入預測的免費報告。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for LCI Industries the TSR over the last 3 years was -18%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在考慮投資回報時,重要的是考慮總股東回報(TSR)與股價回報之間的差異。 TSR是一種回報計算,考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息均已再投資)以及任何折價的增資和剝離的計算價值。 因此,對於支付慷慨分紅的公司,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。 我們注意到對於LCI Industries,過去3年的TSR爲-18%,這比上述的股價回報好。 毫不奇怪,股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧!
A Different Perspective
另一種看法
LCI Industries shareholders are up 2.7% for the year (even including dividends). But that return falls short of the market. It's probably a good sign that the company has an even better long term track record, having provided shareholders with an annual TSR of 4% over five years. It may well be that this is a business worth popping on the watching, given the continuing positive reception, over time, from the market. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand LCI Industries better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with LCI Industries , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
LCI Industries股東今年的收益爲2.7%(甚至包括分紅)。 但該回報低於市場水平。 公司擁有更好的長期業績記錄可能是一個好跡象,在過去五年中爲股東提供了年均4%的TSR。 隨着市場長期以來持續積極的反響,可能值得關注這家企業。 長期追蹤股價表現總是很有趣。 但要更好地了解LCI Industries,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。 例如,考慮投資風險的永恒幽靈。 我們已確定LCI Industries存在1個警示信號,了解它們應該成爲您投資的一部分。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果您願意查看另一家公司(具有潛在的更好財務狀況),請不要錯過這個免費的公司列表,證明它們可以增長收益。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。