WEC Energy Group (NYSE:WEC) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
WEC Energy Group (NYSE:WEC) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, WEC Energy Group, Inc. (NYSE:WEC) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
當David Iben說"波動性並非我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本永久性損失"時,他表達得很好。因此,似乎明智的投資者知道,債務(通常涉及破產)是評估公司風險程度時非常重要的因素。重要的是,WEC Energy Group, Inc.(NYSE:WEC)確實帶有債務。但股東們是否應該擔心它使用債務的情況?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務帶來了什麼風險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
一般來說,當一家公司無法通過籌集資本或自有現金流輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。最糟糕的情況是,一家公司無法償還其債權人的債務,會破產。不過,更普遍的(但仍然痛苦的)情況是,一家公司不得不以低價發行新的股權資本,從而永久地稀釋股東。話雖如此,最普遍的情況是一家公司合理管理其債務,並且從中受益。在考慮一家企業使用了多少債務時,要做的第一件事是查看其現金和債務的總和。
What Is WEC Energy Group's Debt?
WEC Energy Group的債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 WEC Energy Group had debt of US$19.0b, up from US$18.1b in one year. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.
下面的圖片顯示,2024年9月,WEC Energy Group的債務爲190億美元,比一年前的181億美元增加。並且它沒有太多現金,因此淨債務大致相同。
A Look At WEC Energy Group's Liabilities
看一下WEC Energy Group的負債情況
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that WEC Energy Group had liabilities of US$4.01b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$28.8b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$322.5m and US$1.18b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$31.3b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
深入研究最新資產負債表數據,我們可以看到WEC Energy Group在12個月內到期的負債爲40.1億美元,超過這一期限的負債爲288億美元。另一方面,它有32250萬美元的現金和11.8億美元的年內應收款項。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收款項的組合高313億美元。
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's huge US$30.2b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.
考慮到這一逆差超過公司巨大的302億美元的市值,您很可能會傾向於仔細審查資產負債表。假設情況下,如果該公司被迫以當前股價籌集資本償還債務,可能需要進行極度重大的稀釋。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
我們通過將公司的淨債務與其息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)相除,並計算其息稅前利潤(EBIT)如何覆蓋其利息費用(利息覆蓋率)來衡量公司的債務負擔相對於其盈利能力。因此,我們同時考慮債務的絕對數量以及所支付的利率。
WEC Energy Group has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.4 which suggests a meaningful debt load. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 2.7 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. Fortunately, WEC Energy Group grew its EBIT by 6.5% in the last year, slowly shrinking its debt relative to earnings. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if WEC Energy Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
WEC Energy Group的債務EBITDA比率較高,爲5.4,表明負債相對較重。但好消息是,它擁有相當令人放心的2.7倍利息保障倍數,表明它可以負責地履行其義務。幸運的是,WEC Energy Group在過去一年中EBIT增長了6.5%,相對於收入逐漸減少了債務。毫無疑問,我們最能從資產負債表中了解債務。但最終,業務未來的盈利能力將決定WEC Energy Group是否能夠隨着時間加強其資產負債表。所以,如果您想了解專業人士的看法,您可能會發現對分析師盈利預測的這份免費報告很有趣。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, WEC Energy Group reported free cash flow worth 6.0% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.
最後,一家公司只能用冰冷的現金而不是會計利潤償還債務。因此,我們始終檢查EBIT中有多少被轉化爲自由現金流。在過去三年中,WEC Energy Group報告的自由現金流價值相當於其EBIT的6.0%,這實際上非常低。對我們來說,這麼低的現金轉化率會引發一些關於其熄滅債務能力的恐慌。
Our View
我們的觀點
On the face of it, WEC Energy Group's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its net debt to EBITDA was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. It's also worth noting that WEC Energy Group is in the Integrated Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that WEC Energy Group's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with WEC Energy Group (at least 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
乍一看,WEC能源集團的利息保障讓我們對這支股票感到猶豫,而其淨債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤比也不比一年中最繁忙的夜晚只有一家空蕩蕩的餐廳更具吸引力。但至少在增長EBIT方面表現相當不錯;這是令人鼓舞的。 還值得注意的是WEC能源集團屬於綜合公用事業行業,這通常被認爲具有相當的防禦性。從更大的圖景來看,我們認爲WEC能源集團的債務利用爲公司帶來了風險。如果一切順利,這將推動回報,但另一方面,債務也提高了永久性資本損失的風險。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表範圍的風險。我們已確定WEC能源集團存在2個警告信號(至少有1個我們不太滿意),了解它們應該成爲您投資過程的一部分。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
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