Assurant, Inc.'s (NYSE:AIZ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.5x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 19x and even P/E's above 34x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Recent times have been pleasing for Assurant as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
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Is There Any Growth For Assurant?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Assurant would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 134% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 77% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 9.5% per annum as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 11% each year, which is not materially different.
With this information, we find it odd that Assurant is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
What We Can Learn From Assurant's P/E?
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Assurant currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is in line with the wider market. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Assurant that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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