Does Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Does Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, The Procter & Gamble Company (NYSE:PG) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
傳奇基金經理李錄(受到查理·芒格支持)曾經說過,「最大的投資風險並非價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。」所以當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可能會拖垮一家公司。重要的是,寶潔公司(紐交所:PG)的確存在債務。那麼這筆債務是否讓股東擔憂呢?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務帶來了什麼風險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
一般而言,只有當公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題,或者說,無法通過發行股票或利用自己的現金流償還債務。如果情況變得非常糟糕,那麼債權人可以接管業務。但更常見(但同樣昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的股票價格稀釋股東以控制債務。當然,債務可以是企業中重要的工具,尤其是在資本密集型企業中。考慮公司的債務水平時的第一步是將其現金和債務一起考慮。
How Much Debt Does Procter & Gamble Carry?
寶潔公司承擔了多少債務?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Procter & Gamble had US$36.2b in debt in September 2024; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has US$12.2b in cash leading to net debt of about US$24.0b.
下面的圖表顯示,你可以點擊查看更詳細信息,顯示寶潔公司在2024年9月有362億美元的債務;與前一年持平。相反,它持有122億美元的現金,導致淨債務約爲240億美元。
How Strong Is Procter & Gamble's Balance Sheet?
寶潔的資產負債表有多強?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Procter & Gamble had liabilities of US$36.4b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$37.9b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$12.2b and US$6.31b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$55.9b.
我們可以從最近的資產負債表看到,寶潔在一年內到期的負債爲364億美元,而到期日超過一年的負債爲379億美元。 另一方面,寶潔擁有122億美元的現金和63.1億美元的應收款項(一年內到期)。 因此,其負債超過了現金和(短期)應收款項的總和559億美元。
Given Procter & Gamble has a humongous market capitalization of US$388.8b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
考慮到寶潔龐大的市值爲3888億美元,很難相信這些負債會構成很大威脅。 但有足夠的負債,我們肯定建議股東繼續關注資產負債表的發展。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
BJ批發俱樂部控股公司的淨債務只有EBITDA的0.62倍。而其EBIT輕鬆覆蓋其利息費用,比例爲12.6倍。因此,我們對其超級保守的債務使用感到相當放心。雖然BJ批發俱樂部控股公司在EBIT方面沒有取得太多進展,但至少其盈利保持穩定。當分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯然的切入點。但歸根結底,企業未來的盈利能力將決定BJ批發俱樂部控股公司能否隨着時間的推移加強資產負債表。因此,如果你要關注未來,可以查看一下這份免費的分析報告,了解分析師的盈利預測。
Procter & Gamble has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.00. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 46.1 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Fortunately, Procter & Gamble grew its EBIT by 5.7% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Procter & Gamble can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
寶潔的淨債務與EBITDA比率僅爲1.00。 它的EBIT輕鬆覆蓋利息支出,是其46.1倍。 所以我們對它極爲謹慎的債務使用感到放心。 幸運的是,寶潔去年的EBIT增長了5.7%,使得負債負擔看起來更易管理。 我們毫無疑問是從資產負債表中了解債務的大部分信息。 但最終業務未來的盈利能力將決定寶潔是否能夠隨着時間加強其資產負債表。 因此,如果您想了解專業人士的看法,您可能會發現分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Procter & Gamble produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 73% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤並不能解決問題。 因此,邏輯的下一步是查看EBIT中實際自由現金流所佔比例。 在過去三年中,寶潔的穩健自由現金流相當於其EBIT的73%,與我們的預期大致相同。 這筆現金意味着它可以在需要時減少債務。
Our View
我們的觀點
Procter & Gamble's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. Zooming out, Procter & Gamble seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Procter & Gamble has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
寶潔的利息蓋率表明它能夠輕鬆處理債務,就像C羅在對陣14歲以下門將時進球一樣簡單。而這只是好消息的開端,因爲其將EBIT轉化爲自由現金流的能力也十分令人振奮。總體看來,寶潔在合理使用債務,這一點也得到我們的認可。畢竟,合理的資產負債比可以提高股東回報率。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是一個需要重點關注的領域。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中 - 遠非如此。例如,寶潔有2個警告信號,我們認爲您應該注意。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
歸根結底,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包括所有表現出盈利增長軌跡的公司。這是免費的。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
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