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El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For Next Year

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For Next Year

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.擊敗分析師預估:查看下一年的一致預測是什麼
Simply Wall St ·  11/03 21:22

Shareholders might have noticed that El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:LOCO) filed its quarterly result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 6.3% to US$11.96 in the past week. It looks like a credible result overall - although revenues of US$120m were what the analysts expected, El Pollo Loco Holdings surprised by delivering a (statutory) profit of US$0.21 per share, an impressive 26% above what was forecast. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

股東可能已經注意到,El Pollo Loco Holdings公司(納斯達克:LOCO)上週這個時候提交了季度業績報告。最初的反應並不積極,股價在過去一週下跌了6.3%,至11.96美元。總體看來,這似乎是一個可信的結果 - 儘管營業收入爲12000萬美元符合分析師的預期,但El Pollo Loco Holdings通過提供每股0.21美元的(法定)利潤給出驚人的驚喜,比預期高出26%。 這對投資者來說是一個重要的時刻,他們可以在報告中跟蹤公司的表現,查看專家們對明年的預測,看看業務預期是否有任何變化。 因此,我們收集了最新的業績後預測,以了解預估表明明年將發生什麼。

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NasdaqGS:LOCO Earnings and Revenue Growth November 3rd 2024
NasdaqGS:LOCO 2024年11月3日收益和營收增長

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for El Pollo Loco Holdings from four analysts is for revenues of US$490.1m in 2025. If met, it would imply a satisfactory 4.1% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to grow 19% to US$0.95. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$493.3m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.93 in 2025. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.

考慮到最新的結果,四位分析師對El Pollo Loco Holdings的最新共識是2025年營收爲4.9億美元。 如果實現,這將意味着其營收在過去12個月內滿意增長了4.1%。 法定每股收益預計將增長19%,達到0.95美元。 在此業績報告之前,分析師們一直在預測2025年的營收爲4.9億3300萬美元,每股收益(EPS)爲0.93美元。 分析師似乎對業務變得更看好,從他們的新增每股收益預測來看。

There's been no major changes to the consensus price target of US$14.00, suggesting that the improved earnings per share outlook is not enough to have a long-term positive impact on the stock's valuation. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values El Pollo Loco Holdings at US$15.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$13.00. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting El Pollo Loco Holdings is an easy business to forecast or the the analysts are all using similar assumptions.

對於14.00美元的共識目標價未發生重大變化,表明改善的每股收益展望不足以對股票估值產生長期積極影響。 然而,還有另一種考慮價格目標的方法,那就是查看分析師提出的價格目標範圍,因爲廣泛的估計範圍可能表明對業務可能結果存在不同看法。 目前,最看多的分析師將El Pollo Loco Holdings的價值定爲每股15.00美元,而最看淡的價格爲每股13.00美元。 即使如此,考慮到估算的較爲接近,分析師似乎對自己的估值非常有信心,這表明El Pollo Loco Holdings是一個易於預測的公司或者分析師們都使用類似的假設。

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. The analysts are definitely expecting El Pollo Loco Holdings' growth to accelerate, with the forecast 3.2% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 2.2% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 9.6% per year. So it's clear that despite the acceleration in growth, El Pollo Loco Holdings is expected to grow meaningfully slower than the industry average.

要更深入了解這些預測的背景,一種方法是比較它們與過去業績的表現以及同行業其他公司的表現。分析師們確實預計El Pollo Loco Holdings的增長將加速,預測到2025年年化增長率爲3.2%,與過去五年平均每年2.2%的歷史增長相比排名較高。相反,我們的數據顯示,同一行業中其他公司(有分析師覆蓋)的預計年增長率爲9.6%。因此,儘管增長加速,El Pollo Loco Holdings的增長預期要明顯低於行業平均水平。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around El Pollo Loco Holdings' earnings potential next year. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

對我們來說最重要的一點是共識每股收益的升級,這表明對El Pollo Loco Holdings明年的盈利潛力的情緒明顯改善。好消息是,營收預估沒有發生重大變化;儘管預測表明它們的表現將不如更廣泛行業,但整體上沒有發生真正變化。共識價值目標也沒有實質性變化,這表明業務的內在價值在最新預估中沒有發生重大變化。

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for El Pollo Loco Holdings going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

牢記這一點,我們仍然認爲業務的長期發展軌跡對投資者來說更爲重要。在Simply Wall St,我們爲El Pollo Loco Holdings提供了截至2026年的全套分析師預估,您可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with El Pollo Loco Holdings , and understanding this should be part of your investment process.

儘管如此,考慮到投資風險的永恒存在是必要的。我們已經確定了El Pollo Loco Holdings的1個警示標誌,了解這一點應該成爲您投資過程的一部分。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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