The NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) share price has softened a substantial 29% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 38% in that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that NIO's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Auto industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.4x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
What Does NIO's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
NIO certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think NIO's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
How Is NIO's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like NIO's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 31%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 130% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 25% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 16% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that NIO is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Bottom Line On NIO's P/S
With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for NIO looks to be in line with the rest of the Auto industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that NIO currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for NIO that we have uncovered.
If you're unsure about the strength of NIO's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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