Is There Now An Opportunity In SolarWinds Corporation (NYSE:SWI)?
Is There Now An Opportunity In SolarWinds Corporation (NYSE:SWI)?
SolarWinds Corporation (NYSE:SWI), is not the largest company out there, but it led the NYSE gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. The company's trading levels have reached its high for the past year, following the recent bounce in the share price. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company's outlook is already priced into the stock. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Let's examine SolarWinds's valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there's still a bargain opportunity.
SolarWinds公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:SWI)並不是目前最大的公司,但它在過去幾週中以相對較大的價格上漲帶領紐約證券交易所上漲。繼最近股價反彈之後,該公司的交易水平已達到過去一年來的最高水平。作爲分析師報道率高的中型股票,你可以假設該公司前景的任何最近變化都已計入該股。但是,該股票還能以相對便宜的價格交易嗎?讓我們更詳細地研究一下SolarWinds的估值和前景,以確定是否還有討價還價的機會。
What Is SolarWinds Worth?
SolarWinds 值多少錢?
According to our price multiple model, where we compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average, the stock currently looks expensive. We've used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there's not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock's ratio of 57.32x is currently well-above the industry average of 38.51x, meaning that it is trading at a more expensive price relative to its peers. In addition to this, it seems like SolarWinds's share price is quite stable, which could mean two things: firstly, it may take the share price a while to fall back down to an attractive buying range, and secondly, there may be less chances to buy low in the future once it reaches that value. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.
根據我們的價格倍數模型,將公司的市盈率與行業平均水平進行比較,該股票目前看起來很昂貴。我們在這個例子中使用市盈率是因爲沒有足夠的可見性來預測其現金流。該股的57.32倍比率目前遠高於行業平均水平的38.51倍,這意味着與同行相比,其交易價格更昂貴。除此之外,SolarWinds的股價似乎相當穩定,這可能意味着兩件事:首先,股價可能需要一段時間才能回落到有吸引力的買入區間;其次,一旦達到該價值,將來低價買入的機會可能就會減少。這是因爲鑑於其低貝塔值,該股票的波動性小於整個市場。
What kind of growth will SolarWinds generate?
SolarWinds 將帶來什麼樣的增長?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let's also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of SolarWinds, it is expected to deliver a relatively unexciting top-line growth of 8.4% in the next few years, which doesn't help build up its investment thesis. Growth doesn't appear to be a main reason for a buy decision for the company, at least in the near term.
尋求投資組合增長的投資者可能需要在購買公司股票之前考慮公司的前景。以低廉的價格收購一家前景看好的優秀公司永遠是一項不錯的投資,因此,讓我們也來看看公司的未來預期。儘管就SolarWinds而言,預計未來幾年其收入增長相對平淡無奇,爲8.4%,這無助於其建立投資理念。增長似乎不是公司做出收購決定的主要原因,至少在短期內是如此。
What This Means For You
這對你意味着什麼
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in SWI's outlook, with shares trading above industry price multiples. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe SWI should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
你是股東嗎?從SWI的展望來看,市場的定價似乎確實不錯,股票的交易價格高於行業價格倍數。但是,這又帶來了另一個問題——現在是合適的賣出時機嗎?如果您認爲SWI的交易價格應低於其當前價格,那麼高價賣出並在其價格跌至行業市盈率時再次回購可能會有利可圖。但是在做出這個決定之前,先看看它的基本面是否發生了變化。
Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping an eye on SWI for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the positive growth outlook may mean it's worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
你是潛在的投資者嗎?如果你關注SWI已有一段時間了,那麼現在可能不是入股的最佳時機。該價格已經超過了業內同行,這意味着錯誤定價可能沒有更多的上行空間。但是,積極的增長前景可能意味着值得深入研究其他因素,以便利用下一次價格下跌的機會。
So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing SolarWinds at this point in time. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for SolarWinds (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be familiar with.
因此,儘管收益質量很重要,但考慮SolarWinds目前面臨的風險同樣重要。例如,我們已經確定了你應該熟悉的3個SolarWinds警告信號(其中一個不太適合我們)。
If you are no longer interested in SolarWinds, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
如果您不再對SolarWinds感興趣,可以使用我們的免費平台查看我們列出的其他50多隻具有高增長潛力的股票清單。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。