Results: ITT Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
Results: ITT Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
Shareholders might have noticed that ITT Inc. (NYSE:ITT) filed its quarterly result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 2.5% to US$140 in the past week. Revenues were US$885m, approximately in line with whatthe analysts expected, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) crushed expectations, coming in at US$1.96, an impressive 39% ahead of estimates. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on ITT after the latest results.
股東們可能已經注意到,紐交所(NYSE:ITT)上週這個時候提交了季度業績報告。早期反應並不樂觀,股價在過去一週下跌2.5%,至140美元。營業收入爲88500萬美元,大致符合分析師預期,儘管法定每股收益(EPS)遠超預期,達到1.96美元,比預期高出了令人印象深刻的39%。根據業績報告,分析師已更新了他們的盈利模型,值得了解的是,他們是否認爲公司前景發生了巨大變化,還是照常運營。讀者將會高興地得知,我們已彙總了最新的法定預測,以查看分析師在最新業績後是否改變了對 ITt Inc 的看法。
Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from ITT's eleven analysts is for revenues of US$3.90b in 2025. This would reflect a decent 10% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to rise 8.7% to US$6.45. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$3.86b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$6.45 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.
考慮到最新的結果,ITt 公司的十一位分析師目前普遍預計2025年的營業收入將達到39億美元。這將反映其過去12個月營收的可觀增長10%。預計法定每股收益將增長8.7%,達到6.45美元。在此業績報告發布前,分析師此前預測2025年的營收將達到38.6億美元,每股收益將爲6.45美元。因此,儘管分析師已更新其預測,但在最新業績後,對業務預期幾乎沒有發生重大變化。
There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of US$164, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. Currently, the most bullish analyst values ITT at US$176 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$150. With such a narrow range of valuations, the analysts apparently share similar views on what they think the business is worth.
營收或盈利預期,以及164美元的價格目標均未發生變化,這表明該公司在最近的業績中符合了預期。然而,過於專注於單一價格目標可能是不明智的,因爲共識目標實際上是分析師價格目標的平均值。因此,一些投資者喜歡查看估值範圍,以了解對公司估值是否存在不同意見。目前,最看好的分析師認爲 ITt 公司的價值爲每股176美元,而最看淡的定價爲每股150美元。由於估值範圍如此有限,分析師顯然對他們認爲這家公司價值的看法相似。
Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that ITT's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 8.2% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 5.9% p.a. over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 3.0% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that ITT is expected to grow much faster than its industry.
從更大的圖景來看,我們可以通過將這些預測與過去的表現和行業增長預期進行對比,來理解它們。從最新的預測來看,ITT的增長率預計將明顯加速,到2025年底的年化營業收入增長預期爲8.2%,明顯快於過去五年的5.9%的歷史增長。相比之下,我們的數據顯示,預計在類似行業中的其他公司(有分析師覆蓋)年營業收入增長率爲3.0%。考慮到營業收入的預計加速增長,很明顯 ITt 預計比其行業增長快得多。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。
The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
最重要的是,分析師重申業績表現符合他們此前的每股收益預測,這一點並沒有發生重大變化。令人欣慰的是,收入預測沒有發生重大變化,預計企業仍將比整個行業增長得更快。共識價格目標沒有發生實質性變化,表明最新估值沒有發生重大變化。
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for ITT going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..
記住這一點,我們仍然認爲業務的長期軌跡對投資者來說更加重要。在Simply Wall St,我們對 ITt 到2026年的所有分析師預測都有全面覆蓋,您可以在我們的平台上免費查看。
You can also see whether ITT is carrying too much debt, and whether its balance sheet is healthy, for free on our platform here.
您還可以免費在我們的平台上查看 ITt 是否負債過多,以及其資產負債表是否健康。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。