It's not a stretch to say that Whirlpool Corporation's (NYSE:WHR) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Consumer Durables industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.8x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
How Whirlpool Has Been Performing
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Whirlpool's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Whirlpool.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Whirlpool's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 9.0%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 20% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 0.2% each year over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 6.5% growth per year, that's a disappointing outcome.
With this information, we find it concerning that Whirlpool is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining revenues are likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
What Does Whirlpool's P/S Mean For Investors?
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
It appears that Whirlpool currently trades on a higher than expected P/S for a company whose revenues are forecast to decline. With this in mind, we don't feel the current P/S is justified as declining revenues are unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If the declining revenues were to materialize in the form of a declining share price, shareholders will be feeling the pinch.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Whirlpool (at least 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Whirlpool, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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