With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 27.4x CarMax, Inc. (NYSE:KMX) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios under 18x and even P/E's lower than 10x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
CarMax has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on CarMax.
How Is CarMax's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, CarMax would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 7.4%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 62% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 38% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 11% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that CarMax's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Bottom Line On CarMax's P/E
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that CarMax maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with CarMax.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than CarMax. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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CarMax, Inc. (紐交所:KMX)的市盈率爲27.4倍,目前可能正在發出消極信號,因爲在美國,幾乎一半的公司市盈率低於18倍,甚至低於10倍的市盈率也不算飛凡。儘管如此,我們需要深入挖掘,判斷這種高市盈率是否有合理的基礎。