Youdao, Inc. (NYSE:DAO) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 31% gain in the last month alone. Looking further back, the 25% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies operating in the United States' Consumer Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.3x, you may still consider Youdao as an attractive investment with its 0.8x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
How Has Youdao Performed Recently?
Youdao could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Youdao will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Youdao would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 9.7%. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 24% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 11% as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 14% growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's understandable that Youdao's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Youdao's P/S
Youdao's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
As expected, our analysis of Youdao's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Youdao (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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