Elon Musk Predicts AI Will Match Human Capabilities In Few Years: 'The Cup Is 80% Full...Maybe 90%'
Elon Musk Predicts AI Will Match Human Capabilities In Few Years: 'The Cup Is 80% Full...Maybe 90%'
"How much longer does it take to be able to do what all humans can do combined? I think not not long, probably only, I don't know, 3 years from that point so it will be like 2028, 2029."In a recent discussion, Elon Musk shared his vision for the future of artificial intelligence, predicting that AI could reach human-level capabilities by 2029. This statement was made during a conversation at the King Abdulaziz International Conference Center in Riyadh on October 29, 2024.
在最近的討論中，埃隆·馬斯克分享了他對人工智能的未來願景，預測到2029年，人工智能可能會達到人類水平的能力。這一表態是在2024年10月29日在利雅得的君主阿卜杜拉齊茲國際會議中心舉行的對話中作出的。
What Happened: During the event, Musk engaged in a dialogue with Dr. Peter H. Diamandis, founder and executive chairman of the XPRIZE Foundation, about the rapid pace of AI development. Musk highlighted that AI is advancing at an impressive rate, improving roughly tenfold each year.
發生了什麼：在活動期間，馬斯克與XPRIZE基金會創始人兼執行主席彼得·H·迪亞曼迪斯博士進行了對話，討論人工智能發展的快速步伐。馬斯克強調，人工智能正在以驚人的速度發展，每年大約提升十倍。
"I certainly feel comfortable saying that it's getting 10 times better per year which is, let's say, four years from now that would mean 10,000 times better," Musk said.
「我絕對可以說，它每年進步十倍，也就是說，四年後，這將意味着提升10,000倍。」馬斯克說。
"How much longer does it take to be able to do what all humans can do combined? I think not not long, probably only, I don't know, 3 years from that point so it will be like 2028, 2029."
「要花多長時間才能做到所有人類的綜合能力？我認爲不久了，可能只有，我不知道，從那一點開始只有3年的時間，所以會像是2028年、2029年。」
This aligns with his earlier remarks at the Abundance Summit in March.
這與他早些時候在豐收峯會上的言論一致。
Musk also increased his estimation that AI advancements will be positive. He said, "Overall, one could say the cup is 80% full in one positive way to look at it, maybe 90%."
馬斯克還增加了對人工智能發展的估計。他說：「總的來說，可以說杯子有80%的水滿了以一種積極的方式看待，也許是90%。」
Why It Matters: Musk's predictions come amidst ongoing discussions about the impact of AI on the workforce. In May, Musk addressed concerns about AI replacing human jobs, suggesting that in a "benign scenario," AI could lead to a future where humans no longer need to work, with universal high income and no shortage of goods or services.
爲什麼重要：馬斯克的預測出現在人們正在討論與人工智能對勞動力的影響的持續討論中。在五月份，馬斯克談到了關於人工智能取代人類工作的擔憂，他提出在「良性情景」下，人工智能可能導致一個未來，人類不再需要工作，擁有普遍的高收入，以及商品或服務不會短缺。
Additionally, in September, Musk agreed with Nvidia Corporation CEO Jensen Huang's vision of a future where individuals have AI-powered personal assistants, akin to Star Wars' R2-D2. This concept envisions digital agents that grow smarter over time, assisting users in their daily tasks.
此外，九月份，馬斯克贊同英偉達公司CEO黃仁勳對未來的願景，即個人擁有類似於《星球大戰》中的R2-D2的人工智能助手。這一概念設想了隨着時間變得更聰明的數字代理人，協助用戶完成日常任務。
- Iranian Hackers Leak Stolen Trump Campaign Emails, Ex-GOP Strategist Predicts Victory for Kamala Harris And More: This Week In Politics
- 伊朗黑客泄露了被盜的特朗普競選郵件，前共和黨策略家預測賀錦麗將獲勝，本週政治動態
Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of Benzinga Neuro and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
免責聲明：本內容部分使用Benzinga Neuro製作，並由Benzinga編輯審核和發佈。
Image via Wikimedia
圖片來源：維基媒體
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。
