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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (NYSE:FERG)?

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (NYSE:FERG)?

股票下跌,基本面穩固:市場是否對福格森企業股份有限公司(紐交所:FERG)有所誤解?
Simply Wall St ·  10/29 22:54

With its stock down 9.8% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Ferguson Enterprises (NYSE:FERG). However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Ferguson Enterprises' ROE today.

在過去三個月中,它的股價下跌了9.8%,很容易忽視紐交所(FERG)的股票。然而,股價通常受到公司長期財務表現的推動,在這種情況下看起來相當有前景。特別是,我們將關注Ferguson Enterprises的roe今天。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股本回報率或ROE是一項用於評估公司管理層如何利用公司資本的效率的關鍵指標。簡而言之,它用於評估公司相對於其股本資本的盈利能力。

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率怎麼計算?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

淨資產收益率可以使用以下公式進行計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Ferguson Enterprises is:

因此,根據上述公式,Ferguson Enterprises的roe爲:

31% = US$1.7b ÷ US$5.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to July 2024).

31% = 17億美元 ÷ 56億美元(根據截至2024年7月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.31 in profit.

「回報」是業務過去一年賺取的收入。另一種思考方式是,對於每1美元的淨資產,公司能夠賺取0.31美元的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE爲什麼對淨利潤增長很重要?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解了roe衡量公司利潤產生效率的程度。現在我們需要評估公司爲未來增長而重新投資或「保留」的利潤數量,然後了解公司的增長潛力。假設其他一切不變,roe和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高,而與不一定具備這些特徵的公司相比,這種增長率的相對性就越高。

A Side By Side comparison of Ferguson Enterprises' Earnings Growth And 31% ROE

對於Ferguson Enterprises的收益增長和31%的roe進行了並列比較

To begin with, Ferguson Enterprises has a pretty high ROE which is interesting. Second, a comparison with the average ROE reported by the industry of 17% also doesn't go unnoticed by us. This likely paved the way for the modest 14% net income growth seen by Ferguson Enterprises over the past five years.

首先,Ferguson Enterprises擁有相當高的roe,這非常有趣。其次,與行業報告的平均roe 17%進行比較,我們也不得不注意到。這可能爲Ferguson Enterprises在過去五年間適度的14%淨利潤增長鋪平了道路。

As a next step, we compared Ferguson Enterprises' net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 25% in the same period.

作爲下一步,我們將Ferguson Enterprises的淨利潤增長與行業進行了比較,很失望地發現該公司的增長低於同期行業平均增長25%。

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NYSE:FERG Past Earnings Growth October 29th 2024
紐交所:FERG歷史數據顯示2024年10月29日的過去收益增長

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Has the market priced in the future outlook for FERG? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

公司的價值依賴於其盈利增長,投資者應該嘗試確定預期盈利增長或下降的情況是否已經被定價。這樣一來,他們就能知道股票是走向清晰的蔚藍水域,還是即將進入暗礁區。市場是否已經爲FERG的未來展望定價?您可以在我們最新的內在價值信息圖研究報告中找到答案。

Is Ferguson Enterprises Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

弗格森企業是否有效地再投資其利潤?

Ferguson Enterprises has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 34% (or a retention ratio of 66%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

弗格森企業在過去三年中的中位數股利支付比率爲34%(留存比率爲66%),並且盈利增長較爲可觀,這意味着公司有效地利用了其利潤。

Besides, Ferguson Enterprises has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 31%. Therefore, the company's future ROE is also not expected to change by much with analysts predicting an ROE of 35%.

此外,弗格森企業至少連續十年以上支付股息。這表明公司致力於與股東分享利潤。根據最新的分析師預測,我們發現公司未來三年的股利支付比率預計將穩定在31%左右。因此,分析師預測公司未來的roe也不會有太大變化,預計roe爲35%。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we are quite pleased with Ferguson Enterprises' performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. As a result, the decent growth in its earnings is not surprising. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總的來說,我們對Ferguson Enterprises的表現感到滿意。特別是,我們喜歡公司正在大力投資業務,而且投資回報率很高。因此,其盈利的良好增長並不令人意外。鑑於此,對最新分析師預測的研究顯示,預計該公司未來的盈利增長將放緩。要了解更多關於該公司最新分析師預測的信息,請查看該公司的分析師預測可視化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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